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《The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics》 2006-07
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Is the population bonus large

this paper studies the impact of population transition on savings rate by using a overlap generational model in which young and middle aged people perform bring-up obligations to infant and supporting obligations to the elderly,and obtains several new conclusions. Of them the important ones are: 1) a sharp decline of birth rate have no significant impact on savings rate (this means that savings rate only increase a little during transition period of population); 2) the impact of the changes in population ratio of infant to young and middle aged on savings ratio is much smaller than that of the changes in population ratio of the elderly to the young and middle aged; 3) a sharp decline in birth rate not only leads to decline in economic growth,but also permanent increase in average per capita consumption.
【CateGory Index】: C92
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【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Yang Jijun;The Saving Effects of Transition of Demographic Age Structure:An Analysis Originating From Data of Chinese Province[J];Finance & Economics;2009-07
2 WANG Wei(School of Economics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China);Determinants of Chinese Household Saving Rate:An Analysis Based on Dynamic Panel Data at Provincial Level of the Period 19952005[J];Journal of Finance and Economics;2008-02
3 Shi Qi,Yin Jingdong,Lü Lin(Nanjing University of Finance and Economics,Nanjing 210046,China);Impact of Consumption Upgrade on China's Industrial Structure[J];Industrial Economics Research;2009-06
4 DU Yang,QU Yue(Institute of Population and Labor Economics CASS, Beijing 100732, China);Labor Reward,Labor Productivity and the Advantage of Labor Cost——An Empirical Analysis Based on the Data of Manufacturing Enterprise from 2000—2007[J];China Industrial Economics;2009-05
5 HAO Dong-heng(Shijiazhuang University of Economics,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050031);Analysis on the Brain Drain and Countermeasure in Universities of Hebei[J];Journal of Shijiazhuang University of Economics;2008-05
6 LIU Cheng-lin (School of Administration, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072,China);The Changes of Consumption Requirements and the Dynamic Structure of Economic Increase in Hebei Province[J];Hebei Academic Journal;2007-01
7 Wang Huaimin;Processing Trade,Labor Cost and Peasant-workers' Empolyment:The Effect of New Labor Law and subprime Lending Crisis on China's Processing export[J];World Economy Study;2009-01
8 LIU Chuan-jiang,CHENG Jian-lin(Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China);INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENT AND INNOVATION OF SOCIAL Old-AGE INSURANCE FOR PEASANT WORKERS IN CHINA[J];Economic Theory and Business Management;2008-06
9 ZHONG Shui-ying,LI Kui(School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China);THE EVALUATION OF DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND OF CHINA[J];Economic Theory and Business Management;2009-02
10 Chen Zongsheng & Li Defu (Nankai Institute of Economics, Nankai University);A Growth Model of Dual Economy with Endogenous Agricultural Technology Progress——The Re-Analysis of “East Asian Miracle" and Chinese Economy[J];Economic Research Journal;2004-11
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