Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Hydraulic Engineering》 2004-07
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Risk analysis on investment of large-scale water project

WANG Zhen-qiang~(1,2),ZHONG Deng-hua~1 (1.Tianjin Univeristy,Tianjin300072,China;2.Tianjin University of Technology,Tianjin300191,China)  
The risk identification of investment for large-scale water project is investigated according to the project Work Breakdown Structure(WBS) and Risk Breakdown Structure(RBS).The method for estimating the risk by means of integrating the Controlled Interval and Memory Model(CIM) with Monte Carlo simulation technique is established.On the basis of risk analysis the method for estimating the contingency cost is also deduced. This method is applied to analyze the risk of a large-scale water project based on experts' experiences. Good result is attained.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(50179023);; 高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研资励计划(200166);; 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助课题(200300056055)。
【CateGory Index】: F224
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved