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《Journal of West Anhui University》 2019-04
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Empirical Analysis on the Influencing Factors of Commercial Housing Prices in Hefei City Based on Adaptive Lasso Method

NIU Yong;ZHAO Pan;Department of Mathematics and Physics, Hefei University;School of Finance and Mathematics, West Anhui University;  
With the rapid development of Hefei's economy, the average price of commercial housing of Hefei keeps rising. It is necessary to study the main influencing factors behind housing prices. Through qualitative analysis, eight factors affecting the average price of commercial housing in Hefei are obtained, namely, GDP, urban population, disposable income of urban residents, proportion of investment in commercial housing, gap between commercial housing, commercial retail price index, loan interest rate and investment in real estate development. Combined with the data of the last 16 years from 2003 to 2018, this paper makes an empirical study and compares these factors by using the general least squares method, stepwise regression method, Lasso variable selection method and Adaptive Lasso variable selection method, and obtains the influencing factors of the average price of commercial housing in Hefei quantitatively. At the same time, it tries to draw relevant conclusions and give some suggestions.
【Fund】: 2019年安徽省高校人文社科重大项目(SK2019ZD55);; 2018安徽省高校人文社科重点项目(SK2018A0605);; 安徽省自然科学研究项目(1808085MG224);; 2018年度安徽高校自然科学研究重点项目(KJ2018A0564);; 高校优秀青年骨干人才国内访学研修项目(gxfx2017093)
【CateGory Index】: F299.23;F224
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