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《Journal of Xi'an University of Technology》 2010-02
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Research on Water Resources Carrying Capacity and Evaluation Method of Evolution Tendency Based on Principal Components Analysis and Entropy Weight Method

SHAO Lei1,ZHOU Xiao-de1,YANG Fang-ting2,HAN Jun2 (1.Faculty of Water Resources and Hydraulic Power,Xi'an University of Technology,Xi'an 710048,China;2.National Engineering Research Center of System Simulation Technology Application,Beijing 100854,China)  
The index system for evaluation of water resources carrying capacity is suggested.On this basis,the comprehensive principal analysis method for assessing the water resources carrying capacity and a multivariate linear regression model for corresponding driving factors of water resources carrying capacity are established.Take Taiyuan as an example,the evolution of water resources carrying capacity was analysed.The analysis on sampling shows that it obeys the law of normal distribution.The corresponding standards for assessment are deduced accordingly.The application shows that the proposed method can comprehensively reflect the water resources carrying capacity.
【Fund】: 山西省水利厅科研基金资助项目(LZC08-003);; 渭河水专项研究基金资助项目(2009ZX07212-002-001)
【CateGory Index】: TV213.4
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