Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Desert and Oasis Meteorology》 2013-04
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Application Test of ECMWF Fine Grid Model LSP Products in Heavy Snowstorms in Northern Xinjiang

ZHANG Junlan;LI Yuanyuan;ZHANG Chao;Xinjiang Meteorological Observatory;  
ECMWF fine grid NWP products(0.25°×0.25°)has been used in Xinjiang since April 2012.In this article,the forecast results of the ECMWF fine grid model LSP products in three heavy snowstorms occurred in the winter of 2012 in Xinjiang are analyzed and tested.The results show that: the LSP's prediction of the quantity of heavy snowstorms is generally less than the observation,and the forecasting results one day in advance is better than two days and more early more helpful.Although the predicted heavy snowstorms' start time is 3 hours earlier,the end time is fairly accurate The LSP products of the heavy snowstorms two days and 12 hours in advance have a high accuracy rate and low false rate in accumulative total precipitation.The LSP products often are more accurate on area and magnitude where snowstorm covers a region with dense observatories.The analysis of the test results can be usedto forecast the heavy snowstorms in northern Xinjiang,particularly offer a reference to better using the ECMWF fine grid NWP products.
【Fund】: 科技部公益性行业科研专项(GYHY201106007);; 中国沙漠气象科学研究基金(sqi2012004)共同资助
【CateGory Index】: P456.7
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 ZHANG Bingxiang,WANG Lirong,YANG Rongzhen,YAN Ruishu,SU Yuntao(Shijiazhuang Meteorological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050081,China);Forecasting Capability Test of Cold Wave Process by Numerical Weather Prediction Products[J];Journal of Arid Meteorology;2010-01
2 Chang Jun1,Li Zhen2,BuYalin3,Li Suping3,Liu Sha1(1.Henan Provincial Climatic Center,Zhengzhou 450003,China;2.Henan Provincial Meteorological Observatory,Zhengzhou 450003,China;3.Henan Provincial Professional Meteorological Observatory,Zhengzhou 450003,China);Weather Model of Heavy Snow and Snowstorm and Application and Interpretation of Numerical Forecasting Products[J];Meteorological and Environmental Sciences;2007-03
3 WANG Ying1 WANG Qian2 CHEN Yu1 WU Manli1(1.Shenyang Central Meteorological Observatory,Shenyang 110016;2.Liaoning Meteorological VideoCenter,Shenyang 110016);Application of subtropical high index from ECMWF model[J];Journal of Meteorology and Environment;2007-05
4 HUANG Yan,PEI jiang-wen(Kashi meteorological bureau,kashi 844000,China);Contrastive analysis on forcasting abilitiy of several numerical forecasting modles which analyzed a rare snow cold weather coused by Ural Mountains blocking high during 2010 in Kashgar[J];Journal of Qinghai Meteorology;2012-01
5 Liang Hong1,2 Wang Yuan1 Qian Hao1 Sui Dong2(1Major Laboratory of Mid-Scale Severe Weather of Ministry of Education,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210093)(2Shenyang Meteorological Bureau,Shenyang 110168);VERIFICATION AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF PREDICTION OF ECMWF MODEL AND T213 MODEL IN SUMMER[J];Scientia Meteorologica Sinica;2007-03
6 JIA Lihong~1 ZHANG Huilan~1 XIAO Kaiti~2 TANG Hao~1 1 Xinjiang Meteorological Observatory,Urumqi 830002 2 Xinjiang Meteorological Society.Urumqi 830002;Verification and Assessment of the Forecasting of Influence System in Xinjiang by T639 Model Products[J];Meteorological Monthly;2012-08
7 Li Yuelian,He Fawang,Shen Jianhua,Chen Qinglan,Feng Zhiliang(Lvliang Meteorology Bureau of Shanxi Province, Lvliang Shanxi,033000);The Application Test of ECMWF Numerical Predication Products Used to Make Medium Range Prediction in Lvliang City[J];Shanxi Meteorological;2006-03
8 Maimaiti·ABUDULA(Hotan Meteorological Bureau,Hotan 848000,China);2009 Flood Season Precipitation Forecast Accuracy Test in Hotan City,Using NWP Products[J];Desert and Oasis Meteorology;2010-06
9 JIAO Ze-hong1,2,HE Wei-dong2,XIE Ming-en3,SUN Xiu-fen1,4(1.Dpartment of Atmospheric Science,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China; 2.Meteorological Bureau of Lijiang,Lijiang 674100,China;3.Meteorological Bureau of Yunnan,Kunming 650034,China; 4.Meteorological Bureau of Yuxi,Yuxi 653100,China);Inspection on prediction effect of an early summer rainfall process caused by the storm of Bay of Bengal using the mid-term numerical prediction[J];Journal of Yunnan University(Natural Sciences Edition);2011-S1
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 HE Wei-fen et al(Nanjing Information Engineering University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210044);Causality Analysis of the Sustainable Low Temperature and Rain Weather in the Pearl River Delta Area at the Beginning of 2008[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-17
2 SHANG Ke-zheng et al(Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Disaster Reduction of Gansu Province,Lanzhou,Gansu 730000);Evaluation of T213 L31 Numerical Forecast Products[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-06
3 DENG Bing-kui(Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Suining Air Station,Suining,Sichuan 629001);Analysis on the Theory of Blow-up and Verification on Numerical Prediction of Heavy Rain in Sichuan Basin[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-07
4 ZHANG Cheng-jun et al(Guyuan Meteorological Observatory of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,Guyuan,Ningxia 756000);Technical Analysis of Right and Wrong Prediction in One Windy and Dusty Cold Wave Process[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-13
5 CHEN Guanjun1, 2, 3 and WEI Fengying1 1 State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081 2 Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049 3 Chinese People's Liberation Army Unit 96164, Zhejiang 321021;An Extended-Range Forecast Method for the Persistent Heavy Rainfall over the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley in Summer Based on the Low-frequency Oscillation Characteristics[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2012-03
6 WU Nai-geng,LIN Liang-xun,LI Tian-ran,CHEN Bing-hong(Guangzhou Central Meteorological Observatory,Guangzhou 510080,China);Causality Analysis of the Cryogenic Freezing Rain and Snow Weather in Guangdong Province at the Beginning of 2008[J];Guangdong Meteorology;2008-01
7 YAN Li-jun HUANG Xian-xiang CHEN Xiao-yun ZHANG Xiao-xia (Foshan Meteorological Bureau,Foshan 525000,China);Cause Analysis on a Rare Cold and Raing Weather in Foshan City in Early 2008 in Comparison with Climatic Features[J];Guangdong Meteorology;2008-02
8 ZHANG Lu-qing LI Li RAO Gang-wei (Shaoguan Meteorological Bureau,Shaoguan 512026,China);Analysis of the Cryogenic Freezing Rain and Snow Weather in Northern Guangdong Province at the Beginning of 2008[J];Guangdong Meteorology;2008-02
9 ZHAO Yuguang,HE Lihua,ZHANG Nan,YANG Xiaoliang (Hebei Provincial Meteorological Observatory,Shijiazhuang 050021,China);Analysis and Prediction of Synoptic Situation for Cold Wave Weather Occurred in Hebei Province[J];Journal of Arid Meteorology;2012-01
10 Guo Wei-xing,Kuang Fang-yi,Yang Kun,Peng Yue,Wang Ya (Changsha Meteorological Bureau,Changsha Huhan,410205);Capability Test of GFS Forecasting Products During Frozen Disaster in Early 2008 over Changsha City[J];Journal of Meteorological Research and Application;2009-04
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 WANG Zun-Ya~(1,2,3) and DING Yi-Hui~(2)1 Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 1000812 National Climate Center,Beijing 1000813 Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049;Climate Change of the Cold Wave Frequency of China in the Last 53 Years and the Possible Reasons[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2006-06
2 QIAN Wei-Hong and ZHANG Wei-WeiDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences,School of Physics,Peking University,Beijing 100871;Changes in Cold Wave Events and Warm Winter in China during the Last 46 Years[J];Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences;2007-06
3 Cai Aiping(Hongta Meteorological Bureau of Yuxi City,Yunnan Province 653100);Examination of T213 Products' Abilities Forecasting Heavy Precipitation in Autumn of Yunnan[J];Journal of Institute of Disaster-Prevention Science and Technology;2009-02
4 WT5BX]Chen YinHui;An Analysis of a Cold Surge and Forecast of Its Intensity in Winter[J];;2001-01
5 YANG min, WANG peng xiang, SUN lan dong, JI lan zhi, ZHANG sing rong (Lanzhou Center Meteorological Observatory,Lanzhou Gansu,730020,China);An Integrated diagnosis on 4.23 Cold wave in Northwest China[J];GANSU METEOROLOGY;1999-04
6 LI Yan-ying~1,WANG Ru-zhong~2,QI Gao-xian~3,ZHANG Chun-song~2 1.Wuwei Meteorological Bureau,Gansu Wuwei733000,China;2.Minqin Meteorological Station,Gansu Minqin733300,China; 3.Tianzhu Meteorological Station,Gansu Tianzhu733200,China;The Climatic Analysis and Forecast of Cold Wave Weather in Wuwei City[J];;2004-01
7 GAO Zhenrong1,2,LIU Xiaoyun2,TIAN Qingming2,YANG Qinghua2,MA Tingde2(1.Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA,Institute of Arid Meteorology,CMA,Lanzhou 730020,China;2.Jiuquan Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province,Jiuquan 735000,China);Diagnostic Analysis of a Strong Cold Wave Process in Hexi Corridor of Gansu Province[J];Journal of Arid Meteorology;2009-01
8 ZHOU Cuifang1,2,ZHANG Guangping1,2,YANG Haishan1(1.Shizuishan Meteorological Bureau of Ningxia,Shizuishan 753000,China;2.College of Atmospheric Sciences,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China);Contrastive Analysis of Two Cold Wave Weather Processes in Winter of Ningxia Region[J];Journal of Arid Meteorology;2009-02
9 ZHANG Bingxiang,WANG Lirong,YANG Rongzhen,YAN Ruishu,SU Yuntao(Shijiazhuang Meteorological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050081,China);Forecasting Capability Test of Cold Wave Process by Numerical Weather Prediction Products[J];Journal of Arid Meteorology;2010-01
10 ZHENG Fengqin1, SUN Chongzhi1, CHEN Binglian2(1Guangxi Observatory, Nanning 530022, China;2Information Technology Department of Guangxi Teacher's University, Guilin 530001, China);Checking of Precipitation Forecast in Guangxi by Numerical Forecast Products during July ~ September of 2002[J];Journal of Guangxi Meteorology;2003-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved