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《Psychological Science》 2006-01
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Causes of Monty Hall Dilemma's Difficulty

Qiu Jiang,Zhang Qinglin(School of Psychology,Southwest University,Chongqing,400715)  
This article used the classical model of Monty Hall Dilemma to study undergraduates' cognitive process in resolving the problem under several different hints.The results indicated that there was a distinct improvement under the hint of conditional connections but the percentage of correct response was only 35.7%,which suggested that there were several causes of Monty Hall Dilemma's difficulty,such as thinking that Monty's behaviour was a stochastic event and not recognizing the three conditional connections between the first choice and Monty's behaviour. The cause chosen by most subjects was irrational,for example,insisting on the first choice and believing in one's intuition,not estimating correctly the probability of inherent MHD,and lacking motive for considering the problem carefully.
【Fund】: 国家重点学科西南大学基础心理学项目资助
【CateGory Index】: B842.1
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