Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Systems Enging-theory Methodology Application》 2001-01
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Study on Forcast of Financial Failure of Stock Market Corporations

HUANG Yan, LI Yuan xu (School of Management, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China)  
How to prevent financial failure by making effectively full use of the disclosed corporation financial information is a important goal of sustainable operation and development of enterprises, which requires scientific and accurate forcast before the arising of financial failure. The comprehensive warning financial indexes system of stock market corporations is constructed in this paper. By taking corporations of stock markets of Shanghai and Shenzheng as samples, we have set up forcasting models of industrial corporations in the stock market of china through multivariate statistical analyses, the Z value of each corporation has been shown. Meanwhile, we have validated the model with other test samples, the results demostrated that the procedure of our calculation are both effective and practical. In conclusion, we discuss some existing problems regarding the disclosure of financial information and its impact on the forcasting precision of the established model.
【CateGory Index】: F832.5
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ;我国上市公司“ST预警判别模型”的实证研究[J];Journal of Chengdu Electro-mechaical College;2005-03
2 Huang De-zhong (Economy & Management School,Nanhua University, Hengyang, Hunan 421001);Summary of the Research on Enterprise Financial Risk Early-warning[J];Journal of Communication of Finance and Accounting;2005-09
3 ;我国财务预警研究的回顾与展望 ——20世纪90年代以来国内财务预警研究评析[J];Journal of Chongqing University of Post and Telecommunications(Social Sciences Edition);2005-02
4 LI Chun-hua, GUAN Kai-cheng, YANG Hong-bo, LI Jiu-jin ( Economy and management College, Daqing Petroleum Institute, Daqing, Heilongjiang 163318, China );Indefinite comprehensive evaluation model for corporate financial early-warning[J];Journal of Daqing Petroleum Institute;2004-04
5 SUN Xing, QIU Wan-hua(School of Economics & Management,BeiHang University, Beijing 100083,China);The Method of Two Basic Point Distance Proportion about Early-warning of Enterprise Financial Crisis[J];Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management;2005-03
6 Yuan Kanglai Luo Ying(Hunan Agricultural University,Changsha 410128,China);The Research of Financial Crisis Prediction Model Based on EVA of Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises[J];Journal of Industrial Technological Economics;2011-03
7 ZHOU Bing 1, ZHANG Jun 2 (1 School of Management, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China; 2 School of Rongzhi College, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, China);Analysis of model for badness of financial status of listed companies[J];East China Economic Management;2002-04
8 JIA Ming-qi,XIN Jiang-long(School of Management,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China);Listed Companies' Financial Distress Early Warning System Modeling and Empirical Studying[J];East China Economic Management;2008-05
9 HU Yang,FENG Wu (School of Economics and Management,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China);Empirical Study on Financial Failure prediction Model for Non-Manufacturing Listed Companies in China[J];Economic Survey;2005-02
10 Ma Ruowei;The Prediction Model of Financial Distress of Listed Manufacturing Based on RS and ANN[J];Nankai Business Review;2006-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 WU De-sheng, LIANG Liang (School of Business, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China);An Application of Probabilistic Neural Network to Warning for Corporate Financial Distress[A];[C];2003
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 DENG Xiu qin (Dept.of Computer,Shaoguan University,512005);Application of Cluster analysis in stock market board analysis[J];APPLICATION OF STATISTICS AND MANAGEMENT;1999-05
2 ZHANG Wei, LI Yu\|shuang, WANG Chun\|feng(Institute of Systems Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072);Application of Classification Tree in Credit Risk Analysis[J];SYSTEMS ENGINEERING-THEORY & PRACTICE;2000-03
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 HU bin(Anhui Second Power Construction Project Corporation,Huainan 232007,China);Performance Evaluation and Promotion Mechanism in High and New Technology Enterprises[J];Journal of Anhui Electrical Engineering Professional Technique College;2006-02
2 GU Yuan(School of Management,AHUT,Ma'anshan 243002,Anhui,China);Research on Default Risk Evaluation Model[J];Journal of Anhui University of Technology(Social Sciences);2006-06
3 CHEN Li-ping, LI Zhi-jin (The Accounting Academy of the Harbin Commercial University, Harbin 150076, China);Of Listed Companies' Performance Evaluation System[J];Commercial Research;2002-13
4 LI Zheng-bo,GAO Jie(School of Agriculture and Rural Development,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China);Discriminant Analysis of Credit Risk of Peasants' Loan in Rural Credit Cooperatives of China[J];Journal of Shandong Institute of Business and Technology;2007-01
5 TANG Jun,SHONG Feng-ming (School of Economics and Management,Qinghua University,Beijing 100084,China);On Analysis of Selecting Stocks' Prediction of the Recommendation[J];Collected Essays on Finance and Economics;2002-01
6 XU Li-ping,LIU Jian-he(Finance School,Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics,Hangzhou 310018,China);Study of the Recommending Effect of the Securities Analyst on market[J];Collected Essays on Finance and Economics;2008-04
7 SUN Zheng,JIANG Xiu*Mhua,REN Qiang (School of Accounting,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai,China,200433);Relevanse Research between Governance Structure and Corporate Performance[J];The Study of Finance and Economics;2001-04
8 WANG Xiaoming (Department of Statistics, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai 200433,China);Study on Credit Risk Measurement Methods of Commercial Bank[J];The Study of Finance and Economics;2005-05
9 ZHU Hong-jun1,HE Xian-jie2,TAO Lin3(1.Institute of Accounting and Finance,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China;2.School of Accountancy,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China;3.Shanghai Branch,Bank of China,Shanghai 200135,China);Information Sources,Information Searching and Market Efficiency:——Evidence Based on Analyst Forecast Revision[J];Journal of Finance and Economics;2008-05
10 Li Rui Zhao Jingjie(Shanghai Media Group, Shanghai 200023; Bank of Shanghai, Shanghai 200000);Empirical Research on the Earnings' Forecast of IPO Companies in China's Stock Market[J];Journal of Communication of Finance and Accounting;2004-12
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 5 Hits
1 GUO Wei WANG Yun-jie YAO Lu (School of Management,Xi'an Polytechnic University,Xi'an 710048,China);Evaluating the management achievement of the listed wool textile companies in China[A];[C];2006
2 YAN Zhi-yong, CHEN Xiao-jian (Business School, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China);An Empirical Study of Capital Structure and Business Performance[A];[C];2002
3 ;The Investment Value of Financial Analysts' Earnings Forecasts——Evidence from the A-Share Market in Shanghai and Shenzhen[A];[C];2004
4 Qinqin YU Dongmei WANG;How to Establish Financial Performance Assessment system[A];[C];2007
5 DING Xiao-pei,GU Zhi-hui,HAN Li-yan (IMM,Business School of Nankai University,Tianjin 300071,China);Rare Events,Debt Evaluation and Credit Risk[A];[C];2010
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 RUAN Ping-nan,SONG Jin-na(Economics and Management School.Beijing University of Technology.Beijing,100022);Enterprise Financial Alarm System From the New Angle[J];Commercial Research;2006-17
2 GENG Dian-minga,LI Jin-keb,SONG Xiao-qiana(a.College of Business & Management;b.College of Management Science and Engineering,Shandong Institute of Business and Technology,Yantai 264005,China);Systematic Reflections on Safety Pre-warning Management in Coal Mine[J];Journal of Shandong Institute of Business and Technology;2007-02
3 Huang De-zhong (Economy & Management School,Nanhua University, Hengyang, Hunan 421001);Summary of the Research on Enterprise Financial Risk Early-warning[J];Journal of Communication of Finance and Accounting;2005-09
4 Zhou Juan Wang Lijuan (Jiangnan University,Wuxi,Jiangsu 214036);A Financial Early-warning Model analysis Based on Cash Flow Indexes[J];Journal of Communication of Finance and Accounting;2005-12
5 Wang Zhexia Xu Lisha Wang Ying (Hangzhou Dianzi University , Hangzhou , Zhejiang 310018);Research on the Correlation and Quantification between Enterprise Crisis and Management Fraud[J];Communication of Finance and Accounting(Academy Version);2006-01
6 LIN Wei(The Real Estate Information Center of Taiyuan,Taiyuan 030002,China);Research of the Enterprise Financial Early-Warn System Analyzing Procedure[J];Journal of Shanxi Finance and Tax College;2008-06
7 PENG Li,ZHU Zhen,SHAN Xin-ping,YU Liang-di(College of Management,China University of Geosciences,Wuhan 430074,China);Predicting Business Failure of Listed Companies in China[J];Journal of China University of Geosciences(Social Sciences Edition);2006-06
8 YANG Lin-yan(School of Management,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710049,China);Support System Model for Exports Anti-dumping Early-Warning[J];Modern Economic Science;2007-02
9 GUO Feng~(1,2),XIANG Peng-cheng~2,REN Hong~(2)(1.College of Civil Engineering and Construction,Guizhou University,Guizhou Guiyang 550025,China;2.College of Construction Management and Real Estate,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400030,China);Early Warning System Supported by Large Scale System Cybernetics of Real Estate[J];Journal of Chongqing University(Natural Science Edition);2005-12
10 YANG Xiao-li~1,YANG Lin-yan~2,FENG Zong-xian~1 (1. School of Economics and Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061,China; 2. School of Management,Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049,China);An Anti-dumping Early-warning Index Evaluation System and a Fuzzy Judgment of the Export of China's Textile[J];Systems Engineering;2005-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 ;Study of Financial Affairs Early Warning Model Based on the Fuzzy Set[A];[C];2006
3 YAN Li-mei, SUN Li-hui, GUO Li-li (International Business College, Qingdao University, Shandong Province, Qingdao 266071, China);Forewarning Management of Enterprise Talented Person's Collective Drains[A];[C];2006
4 YU Zhong-fu LI Tao CHEN Xiao-yu HE Ping-lin JIAN Jian-hui (North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China);The Design and Application of Synthetic Financial Evaluation Index System from the Angle of Investment Decision-making[A];[C];2007
5 ;制造业上市公司的财务风险评价体系研究[A];[C];2009
6 HAN Jian-guang~1,SUN Jie~2,LI Zhe~1 (1.School of Management,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China; 2.School of Business Administration,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua 321004,China);Financial Distress Prediction Based on Neighborhood Rough Sets and Weighted Voting Combination of Multiple Classifiers[A];[C];2010
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Zhangwei,Li YushuangSchool of Management,Tianjin University;Credit Risk Analysis in Commercial Bank:An Overview[J];JOURNAL OF MANEGEMENT SCIENCES IN CHINA;1998-03
2 Huang Ning (Department of Preparatory,Centrol University for Nationlities,Beijing 100081,China);The Application and Consideration About Priciple Component Analysis[J];APPLICATION OF STATISTICS AND MANAGEMENT;1999-05
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved