Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2002-02
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Study on the Estimation Model of Ammunition and Rocket System Development Cost Based on the Residual Error Correction

GU Xiao hui, WANG Xiao ming (Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094,China)  
The estimation of ammunition and rocket system development cost often adopts the method of multiple variable linear regression equation. The method requires a great number of sampld data and shows a low estimation accuracy. During the new-type ammunition and rocket system development, the small or limited number of the samples maks it very difficult to estimate the development cost. This paper suggests that the n-degree cumulative residual error model should be used to correct the parameter model so as to solve the problem mentioned above. The examples indicate that a higher accuracy can be obtained with fewer samples by this method.
【Fund】: 国防预研基金资助课题 (3 3 6 3 )
【CateGory Index】: E252
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 4 Hits
1 SUN Zhao-hui,BAI Si-jun,LIU Li-huaManagement School of Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an710072,China.;Price estimation of solid rocket motors based on cluster analysis and gray model[J];Journal of Solid Rocket Technology;2004-04
2 SUN Zhao-hui,BAI Si-jun,LIU Li-hua(Management School,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,China);The Price Estimation of Solid Rocket Engine Based on Cluster Analysis and Gray Model[J];Systems Engineering-theory & Practice;2005-08
3 WANG Feng~(1,2),WU Xiao-yun~3,MA Da-wei~1(1.Mechanical-Engineering School,Nanjing Univ.of Science & Technology,Nanjing 210094,China;2.Automatic Command and Control Staff Room,Air Defense Command Academy,Zhengzhou 450052,China;3.Rocket(Staff) Room,Artillery Academy,Hefei 230031,China);Cost forecasting of rockers weapons development based on knowledge mining[J];Systems Engineering and Electronics;2007-01
4 WU Li-feng;LIU Si-feng;FANG Zhi-geng;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing;;Multi-parameter Equipment Cost Estimation Based on New Information Principle Principal Component Regression[J];Chinese Journal of Management Science;2012-S1
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 WU Li-feng,LIU Si-feng,FANG Zhi-geng (College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing,211106,China);Multi - parameter Equipment Cost Estimation Based on New Information Principle Principal Component Regression[A];[C];2012
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Yang FengmingBeijing Research Institute of Engineering Technology;An Effectiveness-Cost Analysis for Mixed Air Defense of AD Missiles and AA Guns[J];Systems Engineering and Electronics;1992-09
2 Zhou QiLi Hongmo Air Force Missile Institute, Shaanxi 713800;Study on Development Cost of AirDefenceMissile Weapon Systems Based on Neural Network[J];Systems Engineering and Electronics;1999-05
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 YU Hui1,LIU Xiao2(1.School of Architecture,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China;2.College of Mathematics and Computer Science,Anhui Normal University,Wuhu 241000,China);Appraising method of comprehensive value of historic buildings based on grey clustering method[J];Sichuan Building Science;2009-05
2 QI Xin-an,ZHU Zu-lin(Anhui Radio&TV University,Hefei 230022,China);Grey Correlation Analysis on the Scale of AHTVU's Enrolment of Distance Learners and Developing Trend[J];Journal of Anhui Radio & TV University;2007-03
3 CHEN Hua-you (Department of Mathematics, Anhui University,Hefei 230039,China);Dynamic model and its optimal analysis about fixed asset investiment[J];Journal of Anhui University(Natural Sciences);2002-04
4 TAN Chun-ying et al (College of Geography and Resources Management of Ludong University,Yantai,Shandong 264025);Application of GM(1,1) Model in Yantai Population Prediction[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2006-17
5 WEI Xiao-lan et al (Grassland Institute,College of Animal Science and Technology,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193);Extraction of Essential Oils from 6 Aromatic Plants and Evaluation on Their Comprehensive Quality[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-30
6 LIN Qin-qin 1 LIU Biao 2(1 Fujian Foresty Vocational & Technical College,Nanping Fujian 353000;2 Forestry College,Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University);Grey Prediction of Forest Resources Development Trend of State-Owned Forest Farms of Zhima in Guangze County[J];Modern Agricultural Science and Technology;2011-19
7 ;Analysis on Infuence of Induction Field Generated by Train under the Action of Geomagnetic Field[J];Safety & EMC;2010-03
8 WU Xin min (Chizhou Normal College,Chizhou 247100,China);The comparison of measurements in the quantitativ analysis of evergreen broad leaved and deciduous broad leaved forest[J];Journal of Anqing Teachers College(Natural Science Edition);2001-03
9 LIU Ming-gui,YANG Yong-bo,YUE Xiang-hong,LI Qi(Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics,The Chinese Academy of Sciences,Wuhan 430071,China);The Prediction Method of Ultimate Resistance Capacity of Bolt Base on Gray Theory[J];Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering;2006-06
10 CAO Li-qiao1,ZHOU Ding-heng2,LIN Chuan3,ZHOU Zhi-guang4,RAN Wan-yun5(1.China Railway Siyuan Survey and Design Group Co.,Ltd,Wuhan 430063,China;2.Technical University of Munch,Munich 85748,Germany;3.Academy of Engineering Exploration,Guangdong Zhuhai 519000,China;4.China Communications Water Transportation Planning and Design Institute;Beijing 100088,China;5.China Tiesiju Civil Engineering Group No.6 Co.,Ltd,Anhui Wuhu 241007,China);Study on Grey Forecasting of Slope Deformation with Mutation Data in Extra-large Cross-section and Cow Flat-ratio Tunnel[J];Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering;2009-S2
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 Wang Xiaohong 1,Wu Shuqin 1,Shen Tao 1,Fan Yong 2 1.School of Control Science and Engineering,University of Jinan,Jinan 250022,P.R China2.Applied Science and Technology College,Guilin University of Electric Technology,Guilin 541004,P.R.China;The Grey Predictive Control on Grate Cooler System[A];[C];2007
2 Cui Zhao-hui~1 Liu Xian-lin~1 Wang Ming-dong~(1,2) Yu Ji-lai~2(1.School of Electric Engineering,Zhengzhou University,Zhengzhou 450002,Henan Province,China;2.Department of Electrical Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,Heilongjiang Province,China);SIMULATION OF SYNCHRONOUS GENERATOR USING GREY PREDICTION EXCITATION CONTROL[A];[C];2006
3 GONG Ying (Chongqing Technology and Business University, Research Center of the Economy of the upper Reaches of Yangtze River, Chongqing 400067, China);Study on Comprehensive Utilized Factors for the Three Wastes in Ecological Civilization[A];[C];2010
4 Liu Hong1, Zhang Qishan2 1) School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108 2) School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350108;Improved PSO-GM(1,1) and its application to product life prediction[A];[C];2010
5 Zhang Yuzhuo (Central Coal Mining Reseauch Institute Beijing 100013);Application of Grey Model to Predict Surface Subsidence Due to Mining under Hard Rock Formation[A];[C];1991
6 Duan Baofu Fei Honglu Ma Yunfeng (Blasting Institute, Liaoning Technical University , Fuxin 123000) (Chifeng Gold Company, Chifeng 024000);DETERMINATION OF MAJOR FACTORS AFFECTING THE BLASTING QUALITY IN JOINTED ROCK MASSES WITH GRAY SYSTEM THEORY[A];[C];1998
7 ZHANG Qing-Hua SUI Li-Fen MU Zhong-Kai (.Institute of Surveying and Mapping,Information Engineer University,Zhengzhou,450052);The GPS Precise Clock Errors Prediction Based on Random Item Model[A];[C];2010
8 GUO Rui-lin WU Qiu-fang LIU Ya-fei LU Zhi-fang (School of Biological and Food Engineering , Anyang Institute of Technology, Anyang, 455000, China);Crop grey breeding project and its application[A];[C];2013
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Wu Huizhong;Wang Fang;Deng Xiaojin(Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing,210094);A NEURAL NETWORK EXPERT SYSTEM APPLIED IN THE SIMULATION OF EFFICIENCY OF A-A GUN SYSTEMS[J];Acta Armamentarii;1995-04
2 Xiao Yuan xing; Mao Herui (System EnSinecring Institute, COI, Bei jing 100081 );AN OVERVIEW OF MODELING METHODS FOR THE REPRESENTATION OF WEAPON SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS[J];ACTA ARMAMENTARII;1997-03
3 Guo Yong Qiu Zhiming(PLAN, Beijing);THE PROMETHEE METHOD IN OPTIMIZING A NUMBER OF SELECTION SCHEMES OF NAVAL GUN WEAPON SYSTEM[J];ACTA ARMAMENTARII;1999-02
4 Pei Yin Ma Dawei Zhang Fuxiang (School of Manufacturing Engineering, NUST, Nanjing, 210094);EFFECTIVENESS EVALUATION OF THE PLAN FOR MULTIPLE LAUNCHER ROCKET SYSTEM ON A WARSHIP[J];Acta Armamentarii;2002-02
5 Li Xiangdong Jiao Xiaojuan(School of Mechanical Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing,210094);A STUDY ON THE DESTRUCTION EFFECT OF THE SPLIT DISTANCE OF THE AMMUNITION “AHEAD” TO A MISSILE TARGET[J];Acta Armamentarii;2004-01
6 Guo Jianhua (School of Economics and Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081) Bai Hua Jiang Yixun(System Engineering Institute, CNGC) Wei Jiangyi(Nanchuan Branch, Chongqing Television University);APPLICATION OF FUZZY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION METHOD IN THE COST ESTIMATION OF WEAPON EQUIPMENT DEVELOPMENT[J];Acta Armamentarii;2004-06
7 Chen Yuhong Liu Jun (The Beijing Information Technical Academe, Beijing 100088, China);Using grey theory estimates cost of unmanned plane's repairing[J];Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;2004-03
8 Yang Jianping\ Du Duanfu (Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,School of Management);Fuzzy Analysis Approach to Project Risk[J];JOURNAL OF BEIJING UNIVERSITY OF AERONAUTICS AND ASTRONAUTICS;1998-01
9 QIU Chun guang, LIU Yu shu (Department of Computer Science and Engineening, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing100081);Neural Network Based Multiple Criteria Decision Making[J];JOURNAL OF BEIJING INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY;2000-01
10 Dong Rumei Chen Jindi (Department of Automatic Control,Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081);A Universal Method of weapon System'sEffectiveness Evaluation[J];JOURNAL OF BEIJING INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY;1997-03
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 Liu Boying;Sun Xunjun;Li Lingling;Wang Guoling;Han Junjie;Province-Ministry Joint Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Field and Electrical Apparatus Reliability Hebei University of Technology;;Grey Model in the Application of Relay Contact Failure Prediction[J];Transactions of China Electrotechnical Society;2013-S2
2 WU Jie,WANG Guang-hui,CHEN Ji-xiang,WANG Zi-ming (Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University,Yantai 264001,China);Research on Technical Risk Evaluation of Naval Gun Guided Projectile[J];Fire Control & Command Control;2012-04
3 ZHOU Zhichao 1,LI Xiangquan 2,LIU Lingxia 2,HOU Xinwei 2,LI Jiebiao 1,WEN Xiaohui 3 1.Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology,CNNC,Beijing 100029,China 2.Institute of Hydrogeology & Environmental Geology,CAGS,Shijiazhuang 050061,China 3.China Railway Resources Geological Exploration Co.Ltd,Beijing 100039,China;Prediction of Risk Range and Short-term Catastrophic Timing for Tailings Debris Flow in West Ditch[J];Science & Technology Review;2013-12
4 HAN Xiao-ming,JIANG Ke,ZHANG Lin,HE Jing-qing(AFEU,Missile Institute,Shaanxi Sanyuan 713800,China);Forecast Model of Development Cost for Weapon Equipment Based on Grey Systems Theory and Neural Network[J];Modern Defence Technology;2011-04
5 XIANG Lingzhi1,2,3,CUI Peng1,ZHONG Dunlun1,GE Yonggang1,ZHU Xinghua1,2,3,YANG Wei1,2,3(1.Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chengdu 610041,China;2.Key Lab of Mountain Hazards and Earth Surface Processes,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Chengdu 610041,China;3.Graduated School of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100039,China);Quantitative Hazard Assessment of Road Debris Flow in Wenchuan Earthquake Area:A Case Study of Xiaojia Ravine in Wenchuan County[J];Journal of Southwest Jiaotong University;2012-03
6 Wan Shiyun1,Li Huahong1,2 and Hu Juan1(1.Meteorological Observatory of Yunnan Province,Kunming 650034,China; 2.College of Resources,Environment & Earth Science,Yunnan University,Kunming 650091,China);Hazard Zoning of Landslide and Debris Flow Disasters in Yunnan Province[J];Journal of Catastrophology;2013-02
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Wang Xiaoli,Yang Chunhua,Gui Weihua 1.School of Information Science and Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410083,P.R.China;On Neural Network Based on Variables Clustering and PCA for Prediction of Carbonation Precipitation Ratio[A];[C];2007
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved