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《Soft Science》 2014-04
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Research on Factors Influencing Price Fluctuation of Agricultural Products——Based on ISM Model

FU Lian-lian;DENG Qun-zhao;ZHOU Li-ping;WENG Yi-jing;Department of Management Science and Engineering,Nanchang University;School of Faculty,Jiangxi Agricultural University;Research Center for Central Economic and Social Development,Nanchang University;  
Analyzing the trend,periodicity and randomness of price fluctuation for domestic agricultural products in the 21st century by component decomposition method,it then decomposes the hierarchy between the factors based on the interpretative structural model. The results show that price shows an upward trend. Since the 21st century price volatility has experienced four periods,from relatively stable to small fluctuations,finally to the volatility and randomness is becoming stronger and stronger. Supply and demand of agricultural products,money supply is superficial,trend and periodic factors. Biomass energy and other factors are mid-level trend factors and natural disasters and other factors are deep roots.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目(70861004);; 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(10YJCZH245);; 江西农业大学自然科学基金项目(09003322)
【CateGory Index】: F323.7
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