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《Forecasting》 2012-02
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Study on Index System of Safety Risk Evaluation for Subway Construction Based on Interval Estimation

LIU Ren-hui,YU Bo,JIN Zhen(School of Management,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China)  
Establishment of index system is key to safety risk evaluation for subway construction,whether the selection of indexes is reasonable directly determines the accuracy of evaluation.This paper studies the usual methods of selecting indexes for evaluation and analyzes their applicability.Based on analytic hierarchy process interval estimation,the theory model of index selection for safety risk evaluation for subway construction is set up.Given the types of accidents happened during last 10 years in China,original index system of safety risk evaluation is established mainly according to sources of safety risks in accidents.At last,this paper takes the sixth part of Harbin Subway Line NO.1 as an example and selects the indexes for its safety risk evaluation,which provides a new method for construction company managers to evaluate safety risk during construction and to improve their ability of safety management.
【Fund】: 中国博士后科学基金资助项目(20090460895);; 黑龙江省自然科学基金资助项目(G201129)
【CateGory Index】: U231.3
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