Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Applied Meteorological Science》 2015-03
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Estimation of Climate Change Effects on Water Use Efficiency of Rain-fed Winter Wheat

Cheng Lin;Fang Wensong;CMA Key Laboratory of Agrometeorological Ensuring and Applied Technique;Henan Institute of Meteorological Sciences;  
Investigating the influencing rule of climate change on water use efficiency(WUE) of rain-fed winter wheat can offer scientific reference for agriculture adapting to climate change.Based on yield information and observed soil water data at representative stations,the historical trend of WUE is analyzed.Simulation models for meteorological yield and soil water variation quantity are established,and four different kinds of climate change scenarios,which are outputs by regional climate models of PRECIS and REGCM 4.0 are combined to estimate the probable variation trend of WUE in the future years of 2021 — 2050 for rain-fed wheat.It is validated that in the basic scenario years,simulated yields by the combination of two regional climate models with meteorological yield simulation model are close to actual values,so methods for estimating future yield of wheat is proved feasible.Results by data analyzing shows that the average yield for representative stations varies as a cubic curve during the last 30 years of 1981 — 2010,and grows faster before the year of 2000.Water consumption of wheat also increases with fluctuating.The average WUE value of rain-fed wheat for representative stations in Gansu,Shanxi and Henan are 13.19 kg · mm~(-1) · hm~(-2),12.86 kg · mm~(-1) ·hm~(-2) and 11.28 kg· mm~(-1) ·hm~(-2),respectively.The varying trend of WUE is similar to a quadratic curve,and the maximum value appears in the year of 2003.Estimation results under four different climate change scenarios shows that in 2021 — 2050,water consumption of winter wheat would increase dramatically,and the increasing amount could reach to 6.2%for all the representative stations and all scenarios averagely.Yields in the future would decrease and some increase,and the variation rate would be 1.4%on average.The value of WUE would decrease 3.8%on average,meanwhile,the variability rate would also decrease.The increase of water consumption would be the main cause for WUE decreasing in the future.From the inter-annual variation during 2021 — 2050,WUE would show a non-significant trend of increasing under the simulation of PRECIS model,and comparing to the average value of 1981—2010,the decreasing rate of WUE would be more significant under A2 scenario than B2.However,there would be a significant decline trend for WUE simulated by REGCM4.0 model,and under the scenario of RCP8.5,the reduced value of WUE would be higher than that of RCP4.5.Generally speaking,the climate scenario of RCP has even more negative effects on WUE of rain-fed wheat.
【Fund】: 公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201106029)
【CateGory Index】: S512.11
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 PU Jin-yong;WANG Run-yuan;WANG He-ling;LI Xiao-wei;LI Rong;WANG Hong-bing;Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, Key Open Laboratory of Arid climate Change and Reducing Disaster,China Meteorological Administration, Key Laboratory of Arid climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province;Tianshui Meteorological Bureau;Institute of Environmental Science and Engineering, Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Technology;Institute of Electronics and Information Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology;;A Comparative Study on Measuring and Calculating Methods of Land Surface Actual Evapotranspiration in Loess Plateau of the Eastern Gansu[J];土壤通报;2014-01
2 LIU Yue-Yan;LIU Hui-Ling;QIAO Yun-Zhou;SHI Chang-Hai;DONG Bao-Di;LI Dong-Xiao;SI Fu-Yan;JIANG Jing-Wei;ZHAI Hong-Mei;LIU Meng-Yu;Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology,Chinese Academy of Sciences;Hebei Key Laboratory of Water-saving Agriculture;Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources,Chinese Academy of Sciences;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;Shijiazhuang Center for Agricultural Product Quality Inspection;College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Shandong Agricultural University;Department of Chemistry, Shijiazhuang University;;Effects of elevated CO_2 concentration and different water conditions on winter wheat growth and water use[J];中国生态农业学报;2013-11
3 DONG Hao1,2,CHEN Yu-hai2,ZHOU Xun-bo2(1Tai'an Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Tai'an 271000,Shandong,China;2 State Key Laboratory of Crop Biology,College of Agronomy,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai'an 271000,Shandong,China);Effects of irrigation and planting pattern on winter wheat water consumption characteristics and dry matter production[J];应用生态学报;2013-07
4 ZHOU Jie1,ZHANG Zhiqiang1,*,SUN Ge2,FANG Xianrui1,ZHA Tonggang1,ZHANG Yan1,WANG Xiaoping3,CHEN Junqi3,CHEN Jiquan4 1 Key Laboratory of Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Combating,Ministry of Education,College of Soil and Water Conservation,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China 2 Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center,USDA Forest Service,Raleigh,NC 27606,U.S.A 3 Forestry Carbon Sink Management Office,Beijing,100085,China 4 Landscape Ecology & Ecosystem Science,University of Toledo,Toledo,OH 43606-3390,U.S.A;Environmental controls on water use efficiency of a poplar plantation under different soil water conditions[J];生态学报;2013-05
5 HUI Haibin1,LIN Qi1,LIU Yiguo1,LIU Jiabin1, ZHANG Hongsheng1 and ZHAI Yanju2(1.Key Laboratory of Dry Tillage Water Saving of Qingdao,School of Agriculture and Plant Protection of Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao Shandong 266109,China;2.Laizhou Jinhai Seed Limited Company,Laizhou Shandong 261400,China);Effects of Irrigation Amount and Stage on Photosynthetic Characteristics and Yield of Super-high-yield Wheat at Filling Stage[J];西北农业学报;2012-08
6 Qian Jinxia~(1)) Guo Jianping~(2)) 1)(Shanxi Meteorological Service Center for Decision Making,Taiyuan 030006 ) 2)(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081);Regression Models of Winter Wheat Yield Components in Zhengzhou Area[J];应用气象学报;2012-04
7 ZANG He-cang,LIU Yun-peng,YU Peng,ZHANG Ying-hua,WANG Zhi-min(College of Agronomy and Biotechnology,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100193,China);Dry Matter Accumulation and Water Utilization Characteristics of Two Highyield Winter Wheat Cultivars under Limited Irrigation and Nitrogen Supply[J];麦类作物学报;2012-04
8 GAO XueJie1*, SHI Ying1, ZHANG DongFeng2 & GIORGI Filippo3 1 National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China; 2 Shanxi Climate Center, Taiyuan 030006, China; 3 The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste 34100, Italy;Climate change in China in the 21st century as simulated by a high resolution regional climate model[J];Chinese Science Bulletin;2012-10
9 YAO Yu-bi1,2,WANG Run-yuan1,YANG Jin-hu2,ZHANG Mou-cao3,YUE Ping1,XIAO Guo-ju4(1 Key Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou 730020,China;2 Meteorological Bureau of Dingxi of Gansu Province,Dingxi,Gansu 743000,China;3 Meteorological Bureau of Qingyang of Gansu Province,Xifeng,Gansu 745000,China;4 New Technology Application Research and Development Centre of Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China);Impacts of Climatic Change on the Growth and Water Use Efficiency of Winter Wheat in the Semi-humid Region of Loess Plateau[J];西北植物学报;2011-11
10 Wang Peijuan~(1)) Zhang Jiahua~(1)) Xie Donghui~(2)) Zhao Junfang~(1)) Bai Yueming~(1)) Mao Fei~(1)) 1)(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081) 2)(School of Geography and Remote Sensing Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875);Estimation for Weather Yield of Winter Wheat Under A2 and B2 Scenarios in Hebei,Shandong and Henan Provinces[J];应用气象学报;2011-05
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZHANG Dong-Feng;HAN Zhen-Yu;SHI Ying;Shanxi Climate Center;National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration;;Comparison of climate projections between driving CSIRO-Mk3.6.0 and downscaling simulation of RegCM4.4 over China[J];Advances in Climate Change Research;2017-04
2 SHI Pei-hong;DUAN Ke-qin;LIU Huan-cai;YANG Jun-hua;ZHANG Xiao;SUN Jian-yong;State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences,Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute,Chinese Academy of Sciences;College of Tourism and Environmental,Shanxi Normal University;;Response of Xiao Dongkemadi Glacier in the central Tibetan Plateau to the current climate change and future scenarios by 2050[J];Journal of Mountain Science;2016-01
3 ZANG Hecang;WANG Yanjing;ZHANG Jie;HU Feng;LI Guoqiang;ZHENG Guoqing;Agricultural Economy & Information Research Institution,Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences;Elementary Education Dpartment,Zhengzhou Normal University;;Study on Dry Matter Accumulation and Yield Benefit Characteristics of Two High-yield Maize Cultivars Under Different Nitrogen Regimes[J];核农学报;2015-12
4 CAO Wenmei;LIU Shuzhong;ZHENG Beibei;SHAO Ruixin;Henan Vocational College of Agriculture;College of Agronomy,Henan Agricultural University;;Effects of High-yield Cultivation Patterns on Yield and Sugar Mass Fraction at Grain-filling Stage of Winter Wheat[J];西北农业学报;2015-10
5 HE Jian-ning;SHI Yu;ZHAO Jun-ye;ZHANG Yong-li;YU Zhen-wen;Ministry of Agriculture Key Laboratory of Crop Ecophysiology and Farming System,Shandong Agricultural University;Agricultural Information Institute,Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences;;Effects of supplemental irrigation based on soil moisture on photosynthetic characteristics and enzyme activity of flag leaf in wheat[J];应用生态学报;2015-12
6 WANG Xiaojing;LI Zhongfang;ZANG Hecang;ZHANG Jie;HU Feng;LI Guoqiang;FENG Xiao;ZHAO Qing;ZHENG Guoqing;Analysis and Test Center of Agriculture,Ningxia Academy of Agriculture and Forestry Sciences;Jiaozuo Teachers College;Agricultural Economy&Information Research Institute,Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences;;Effects of Different Nitrogen Apllication Modes on Growth,Yield and Nitrogen Utilization Efficiency of Summer Maize[J];河南农业科学;2015-10
7 ZHAO Qing-he;LIU Qian;MA Li-jiao;DING Sheng-yan;LU Xun-ling;TANG Qian;XU Shan-shan;Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Regions,Ministry of Education;College of Environment and Planning,Henan University;;Spatial variation in riparian soil properties and its response to environmental factors in typical reach of the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River[J];应用生态学报;2015-12
8 LIU Yuli;JIANG Hong;SUN Cheng;ZHANG Jinmeng;Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Carbon Cycling in Forest Ecosystems and Carbon Sequestration, Zhejiang Agriculture and Forestry University;International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University;;Research of the water–carbon flux water use efficiency daily dynamic variation of Phyllostachys edulis forest in Anji[J];生态科学;2015-04
9 Liu Caihong;Yu Jinhua;Li Hongmei;School of Atmospheric physics/MOE Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology;Qinghai Climate Centre;;Projected Climate Change under the RCPs Scenario in the Qinghai Plateau[J];中国沙漠;2015-05
10 YAN Yong-liang;CONG Hua;ZHANG Jin-bo;ZHANG Yan-feng;LU Zi-feng;Research Institute of Crop Germplasm Resources,Xinjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences;;Effects of Irrigation and Nitrogen on Agronomic Traits and Yield in Winter Wheat with Two Spike- Typles[J];新疆农业科学;2015-08
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 FANG Xianrui1,ZHANG Zhiqiang1,ZHA Tonggang1,TAN Jiongrui1,WANG Xiaoping2,CHEN Junqi2,CHEN Jiquan3,SUN Ge4 1 Key laboratory of Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Combating,Ministry of Education//Water and Soil Conservation College,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China 2 Beijing Forestry Carbon Sequestration Office,Beijing 100085,China 3 Landscape Ecology & Ecosystem Science,University of Toledo,Toledo,OH 43606-3390,U.S.A 4 Southern Global Change Program,USDA FS,920 Main Campus,Raleigh,NC 27606,U.S.A;Ecosystem and soil respiration of a poplar plantation on a sandy floodplain in Northern China[J];生态学报;2012-08
2 LIANG Yun 1,3,ZHANG Feng 2,WANG Xiao-wei 1,ZHAO Jian-hua 3(1.Northwest Regional Climate Center,Lanzhou 730020,China;2.Qingyang Meteorological Bureau,Xifeng 745000,China;3.Lanzhou Arid Meteorological Institute,Chinese Meteorological Administration,Lanzhou 730020,China.);The Variations of Soil Water of Wheat Field and Its Relation to Precipitation in Loess Plateau Mesa Region[J];土壤通报;2012-01
3 Wang Peijuan~(1)) Zhang Jiahua~(1)) Xie Donghui~(2)) Zhao Junfang~(1)) Bai Yueming~(1)) Mao Fei~(1)) 1)(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081) 2)(School of Geography and Remote Sensing Science,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875);Estimation for Weather Yield of Winter Wheat Under A2 and B2 Scenarios in Hebei,Shandong and Henan Provinces[J];应用气象学报;2011-05
4 Zhang Deqi,Ji Shuqin,Wang Hanfang,Li Xiangdong,Lv Fengrong,Guo Rui,Cheng Hongjian(Wheat Research Center,Henan Academy of Agricultural Sciences /Henan Key Laboratory of Wheat Biology,Zhengzhou 450002);Effects of Nitrogen Strategies on the Population Changes,Distribution of Grains Per Spike and Yield in Winter Wheat[J];中国农学通报;2011-21
5 DAI Li-qin1,LI Chun-qiang1,WEI Rui-jiang1,YU Chang-wen2(1.Hebei Institute of Meteorological Science/Hebei Key Labarory for Meteorology and Eco-environment, Shijiazhuang 050021,China;2.Hebei Climate Center,Shijiazhuang 050021);Climatic Suitability of Winter Wheat and Its Spatial-temporal Changes in Hebei Province[J];中国农业气象;2011-03
6 ZHANG Ya-qian,LIN Qi,LIU Jia-bin,ZHANG Hong-sheng,ZHAO Chang-xing(Key Laboratory of Dry Land Farming and Water Saving,Qingdao Agricultural University,Qingdao,Shandong 266109,China);Effects of Drought Stress on Photosynthetic Characteristics and Yield of Different Fertilizer and Water Types of Wheat[J];麦类作物学报;2011-04
7 XIAO Ji-bing 1,SUN Zhan-xiang 2 ,Yang Jiu-ting 1,ZHANG Yu-long 3, ZHENG Jia-ming 2,LIU Yang 2(1.Institute of Water and Soil Conservation in Liaoning,Chaoyang 122000,China;2.Liaoning Province Academy of Agricultural Science,Shenyang 110866,China;3.Shenyang Agricultural College,Shenyang 110866,China);Effect of Subsoiling on Soil Water and Crop Yield in Semi-arid Area[J];土壤通报;2011-03
8 Zhang Qiang1,2,3,Zhang Zhixian1,3,Wen Xiaomei1,4,Wang Sheng1,3(1.Key laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province/Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA/ Institute of Arid Meteorology,CMA,Lanzhou 730020,China;2.Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province,Lanzhou 730020,China;3.Lanzhou Univerrsity,Lanzhou 730000,China;4.Baoshan Meteorological Bureau,Shanghai 201901,China);Comparisons of Observational Methods of Land Surface Evapotranspiration and Their Influence Factors[J];地球科学进展;2011-05
9 YAN Xue-mei1,2,YU Zhen-wen1,ZHANG Yong-li1,WANG Dong1(1Ministry of Agriculture Key Laboratory of Crop Ecophysiology and Cultivation,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai'an 271018,Shandong,China;2Agriculture Bureau of Anqiu County,Anqiu 262100,Shandong,China);Differences in water consumption characteristics and grain yield of different wheat cultivars.[J];应用生态学报;2011-03
10 GAO XueJie1, SHI Ying1 & Filippo GIORGI2 1 The Laboratory of Climate Study, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China; 2 The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;A high resolution simulation of climate change over China[J];Science China(Earth Sciences);2011-03
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved