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《Chinese Journal of Management Science》 2019-07
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GM(0,N)Model for Its Application on Forecasting the Development Cost of Complicated Equipment

WU Li-feng;YU Liang;WEN Zhao-xia;College of Management Engineering and Business,Hebei University of Engineering;China Academay of Launch Vehicle Technology;  
Complicated equipment development cost forecasting of the cross section data is studied,the GM(0,N)model is relatively stable when the sample is small.The data is sorted according to the similarity degree proposed,then GM(0,N)model is established,the more similar to the prediction the object sample data,the more sensitive to GM(0,N)model,the greater weight GM(0,N)model determine from the angle of sensitivity.Due to the similar equipment often produce similar development costs,making full use of the similar sample data to prediction object is helpful to improve the forecasting accuracy.The practical example is given to illustrate the practicability and validity of this model.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71871084 71401051);; 河北省青年拔尖人才项目;; 河北省高校百名优秀创新人才支持计划项目(SLRC2019001)
【CateGory Index】: F224
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 5 Hits
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【Co-citations】
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1 Fang Zhigeng;Fang Shili;Wu Lifeng;Yu Liang;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics;China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology;;Convex Grey Correlation Model for Identification of Driving Factors of Complex Equipment Cost[J];南京航空航天大学学报;2015-01
2 FANG Shi-li;WU Li-feng;LIU Si-feng;FANG Zhi-geng;Yu Liang;College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics;China Academy of Launch Vehicle Technology;;Complex Equipment Cost Drive Factors Identification Model with Maximization of the Driving Effect Proportion[J];系统工程;2014-10
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