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《China Journal of Highway and Transport》 2007-06
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Chaotic Time Series Model of Real-time Prediction of Traffic Flow

ZANG Li-lin,JIA Lei,YANG Li-cai,LIU Tao(School of Control Science and Engineering,Shandong University,Jinan 250061,Shandong,China)  
Aimed at the chaotic characteristic in urban traffic flow,authors introduced an improved prediction model of weighted one-rank local-region and applied the model to real-time prediction of traffic flow.In order to improve accuracy and speed of the algorithm,the number of optimum neighbor point was selected dynamically.By improvement,it became a real-time prediction algorithm with strong robustness and high accuracy.The method can be used for a brief time prediction of traffic flow.Simulation results indicate that the algorithm can meet real-time prediction of traffic flow completely and provides the massive foundation for traffic signal control and induction of traffic flow.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目(60674062);; 教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目(20060422054)
【CateGory Index】: U491.14
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