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Results of Study on the Prediction of Rainstorm Debris Flow Along Montane Railways

Tan Binyan(Southwest Research Branch,China Academv of Railway Sciences)  
Debris flow occurrence is determined by the following factrs:calamitous rains-torm,unstable state of loose material in the valley and conditions restricting water-sandmovement.The time-space factor in debris flow prediction can be obtained by analyzing thehourly satellite cloud charts.For a specific area debris flow can be predicted by the combina-tion of precipitation function with dynamic ground environment function.In the paper,the de-bris flow prediction model,mentioned in“The Study For Rainstorm Debris Flow Short-TermPrediction Along Mountain District Railway”,has been perfected based on statistical analysisof data from three railway prediction experimental stations and three water-soil conservationexperimental station under the Yellow River Conservancy Commission,Based on the analys-is,the differentiation and numeration standards for the critical values of contributing factorsin debris flow prediction have been established.
【CateGory Index】: P457.6
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