Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Earthquake Research In China》 1990-03
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Forthcoming Strong Earthquakes Calculated upon Recently Seismic Activities

Cai Jingguan Liu Zhengrong(Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province,Kunming)  
Using Gutenberg-Richter magnitude- frequency relation log N =a-bM as the basic formula, the recurrence period of earthquakes with different magnitudes TM = m·10bM-a and the maximum magnitude M1= a/b have been deduced. And the occurrence time and maximum magnitude of forthcoming strong earthquakes can be quantitatively calculated by recently seismic activity data concerning the seismogenic process of strong event. Testified by strong event cases in Sichuan-Yunnan Area and examined by the actual predicting results,the presented method has demonstrated an applicable one in the medium-and long-term earthquake prediction.
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 LI Jin1,LI Yuanyuan2,PAN Cunying3,YUAN Zhixiang1 (1.Earthquake Administration of Shanxi Province,Xi′an 710068,China 2.Earth Science and Land Resourses College of Chang′an University,Xi′an 710054,China);Discussion on the Maximum Magnitude of Earthquake possibly Occurred in Shanxi Province in the Future[J];South China Journal of Seismology;2006-03
2 Hu Cairong(Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinyuan Seismic Station);PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF SEISMICITY IN THE AERA FROM URUMQI TO SHAWAN[J];Inland Earthquake;1992-01
3 Deng Jianping Jiang Daochong and Huang Xuecheng(Seismological Cenier Station of Chengdu);A STUDY ON STRONG EARTHQUAKE ACTIVITY OF SEGMENT FROM QIANNING TO DONGCHUAN IN SICHUAN AND YUNNAN REGION[J];Earthquake Research in Sichuan;1992-02
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 Min Ziqun,Shen Siwei,(Sismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);CATALOGUE OF M=4.7 EARTHQUAKES OF YUNNAN PROVINCE FROM 886 TO 1981[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1983-04
2 Cai Jingguan Liu Zhengrong (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming);THE QUANTITATIVE MAGNITUDE CALCULATION FOR FORTHCOMING EARTHQUAKES[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1989-03
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 Chen Defu1),Chen Jing2) and Yang Xing2) 1) Institute of Seismology,CEA,Wuhan 4300712) Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province,Kunming 650224;MULTIPLE REAPPEARANCE OF EARTHQUAKE PRECURSOR ANOMALIES MEASURED BY YONGSHENG FIXED-POINT DEFORMATION MEANS[J];Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics;2008-03
2 Zhang Shousheng (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);AN ANALYSIS ON THE 1515 YONGSHENG EARTHQUAKE (M = 8 ) AND EVENTS IN ITS RELATED AREAS[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1985-03
3 Cai Jingguan Liu Zhengrong (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming);THE QUANTITATIVE MAGNITUDE CALCULATION FOR FORTHCOMING EARTHQUAKES[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1989-03
4 Cai Jingguan (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);CHARACTERISTICS OF THE LANCANG-GENGMA EARTHQUAKE SEQUENCE[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1989-04
5 Liu Zhenrong (Scismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming);ON EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE INTERVAL[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1990-02
6 Liu Zhengrong (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province. Kunming, G50041);TEMPORAL-SPATIAL SCANNING OF THE EARTHQUAKERECURRENCE INTERVAL BEFORE THELANCANG-GENGMA EARTHQUAKE[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1991-04
7 Qin Jiazheng (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming, 650041);STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF EARTHQUAKE INTENSITY AND MAGNITUDE IN YUNNAN[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1992-01
8 LI Jin1,LI Yuanyuan2,PAN Cunying3,YUAN Zhixiang1 (1.Earthquake Administration of Shanxi Province,Xi′an 710068,China 2.Earth Science and Land Resourses College of Chang′an University,Xi′an 710054,China);Discussion on the Maximum Magnitude of Earthquake possibly Occurred in Shanxi Province in the Future[J];South China Journal of Seismology;2006-03
9 Hu Cairong(Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Xinyuan Seismic Station);PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE CHARACTERISTICS OF SEISMICITY IN THE AERA FROM URUMQI TO SHAWAN[J];Inland Earthquake;1992-01
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 Cai Jingguan Liu Zhengrong (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming);THE QUANTITATIVE MAGNITUDE CALCULATION FOR FORTHCOMING EARTHQUAKES[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1989-03
2 Liu Zhenrong (Scismological Bureau of Yunnan Province, Kunming);ON EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE INTERVAL[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1990-02
3 Du Xingxin Zhang Chunsheng (Seismolofjical Bureau of Shaanxi Province, Xi'an 710068);PERIOD DIVIDING AND CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF SEISMICITY IN THE SEISMIC ZONES AROUND THE ERDOS BLOCK[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1992-02
4 Yuan Zhixiang Xu Zhuang (Seismological Bureau of Shaanxi Province,China);A STUDY ON PROBABILITY OF MODERATELY STRONG EARTHQUAKES OCCURENCE IN SHAANXI PROVINCE AND FEN—WEI SEISMIC BELT[J];Plateau Earthquake Research;1992-02
5 Yang Zhang GUO Hengzu Ding Dexuan Xu Daozun (Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi);PRELIMINARY RESEARCH OF ACTIVE FAULTS FOR NORTHERN TIANSHAN MOUNTAINS[J];Inland Earthquake;1988-03
6 Bai Lanxiang(The Sixth Laboratory,Seismological Bureau of Sichuan Province);THE GEOMETRICAL CAPACITY DIMENSION CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NORTHERN SEGMENT OF THE ANNINGHE FAULT ZONE[J];Earthquake Research in Sichuan;1991-01
7 Jiang Daochong;Yuan Hailiang;Hang Xuecheng;Zhu Liquong Central Seismic Station of Chengdu;SEISMICITY IN SANCHAKOU AREA[J];Earthquake Research in Sichuan;1991-02
8 Yuan Zhixiang(Seismological Bureau of Shaanxi province);EVALUATION OF THE SEISMIC RISK TENDENCY IN SHAANXI PROVINCE[J];Journal of Catastrophology;1991-02
9 Yuan Zhixiang(Seismological Bureau of Shaanxi Province);EVALUATION OF THE MEDIUM-LONG TERM SEISMIC TENDENCY[J];Journal of Catastrophology;1992-03
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Jiang Daochong (Chengdu Seismic Station, Sichuan Province);STUDY ON THE MACROSEISMICITY IN EASTBOUNDARY OF "SICHUAN-YUNNAN RHOMBUS AREA[J];PLATEAN EARTHQUAKE RESEARCH;1995-01
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 4 Hits
1 HSIEH Yu-SHOW (lustitute of Geophysics and Meteorology, Academia Sinica);A NEW SCALE OF SEISMIC INTENSITY ADAPTED TO THE CONDITIONS IN CHINESE TERRITORIES[J];Chinese Journal of Sinica;1957-01
2 LIU CHENG-JUNG(Institute of Geophysics and Meteorology, Academia Sinica);A GRATICULE FOR THE MACROSEISMIC DETERMINATION OF THE DEPTH OF FOCUS OF AN EARTHQUAKE[J];Chinese Journal of Sinica;1961-02
3 Min Ziqun,Shen Siwei,(Sismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);CATALOGUE OF M=4.7 EARTHQUAKES OF YUNNAN PROVINCE FROM 886 TO 1981[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1983-04
4 Liu Zhengrong, Kong Zhaolin (Seismological Bureau of Yunnan Province);EARTHQUAKE FREQUENCY ATTENUATION AND EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J];Journal of Seismological Research;1986-01
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved