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《Journal of Catastrophology》 2013-04
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Prediction Model about Landslide and Debris Flow in Yunnan Province

Min Ying;Hu Juan;Li Chao;Xu Yingjie;Li Huahong;Li Xiang;Wan Shiyun;Li Lei;Yang Suyu;Yunnan Meteorological Observatory;  
Based on the data of precipitation and disaster from year 2000 to year 2011,inside and outside factors influenced landslide and debris flow have been comprehensively considered.The amount,intensity of rainfall and geological structure,which cause landslide and debris flow have been emphatically analyzed.The targets of landslip grade forecast were found.Combining the quantitative precipitation predicted business,the prediction model about landslide and debris flow has been formed.The model reflects good prediction ability in Yiliang disaster at September 11,2012 by checking example.
【Fund】: 云南科技惠民计划项目“云南怒江流域精细化地质灾害气象预警系统研究及示范”(2013CA014);; 中国气象局山洪地质灾害防治气象保障工程“云南省山洪地质灾害精细化气象预报预警业务系统研究”项目;; 云南省气象局预报员技术开发专项项目“云南省滑坡泥石流灾害预报预警模型精细化研究”(YB201301)
【CateGory Index】: P642.23
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