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《Journal of Central University of Finance & Economics》 2014-06
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The Current Situation and Prediction of Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions,and Way Choice of Low Carbon Development in Beijing

LI Yun-yan;XIAN Ying-nan;  
Under the limitation of environmental resource and the process of rapid urbanization,achieving a lowcarbon development is the orientation of Beijing urban development. This paper investigates the present carbon emissions situation in Beijing and each industry. By applying grey system GM( 1,1) model,it predicts the carbon emissions situation of Beijing and each industry over the next decade. On that basis,it analyses the problems and advantages,challenges and opportunities faced by low-carbon development in Beijing,and researches the low carbon development strategy under low-carbon intensity target and discusses the best way choice of low-carbon development in Beijing.
【Fund】: 北京市科技计划课题软科学研究项目(项目编号:Z131109001613006);; 北京市重点学科“资源、环境与循环经济”(项目编号:033000541214001);; 北京工业大学人文社科基金项目(项目编号:X5104001201301)
【CateGory Index】: F426.2;X196
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