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《Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology》 2005-01
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Climate Changes and Seasonal Snow Cover Variability in the Western Tianshan Mountains, Xinjiang in 1967-2000

GAO Wei-dong~(1,2), WEI Wen-shou+3, ZHANG Li-xu~(4) (1.Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, rümqi Xinjiang 830011, China; 2.Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China; 3.Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, rümqi Xinjiang 830002, China; 4.East China Sea Monitoring Center, National Bureau of Oceanography, Shanghai 200137, China)  
Snow cover is an important component in a climatic system, and is very sensitive to the change in climatic environment, especially in arid areas. Seasonal snow cover is the most active factor that affects the environment in arid and cold regions. In this paper, the change trends of seasonal snow cover, precipitation and temperature in cold season in the intermediate zone of the West Tianshan Mountains are tested by using average dispersion method, least square method and auto-regression-moving average method based on the data of annual maximum snow cover depth, monthly mean temperature and precipitation observed in the Tianshan Station for Snow and Avalanche Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences in 1967_2000. The results show that snow cover depth in the intermediate zone of the West Tianshan Mountains increases in the last 33 years. The temperature and precipitation variations in the cold season in the intermediate zone of the West Tianshan Mountains are also in an increasing trend. During the last 33 years, the seasonal snow cover and precipitation in cold season have annually increased by 1^43% and 0^12%, respectively, and the temperature in cold season has increased by 0^8 ℃. Verifying the time series of precipitation and air temperature shows a positive value, that is to say, the precipitation and air temperature are increasing. However, the temperature change is more than the precipitation change. By using Mann-Kendall technique,it is found that temperature change is, but precipitation is not abrupt during this period. The correlative and regressive analyses show that there is a significant positive correlation between the seasonal snow cover and the precipitation in cold season, but a weak negative correlation between the seasonal snow cover and the temperature in cold season.
【Fund】: 科技部基础研究重大项目前期研究专项(2002CCA04600);; 中国科学院知识创新工程项目(KZCX2 305)资助
【CateGory Index】: P461.6
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