Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics(Social Sciences Edition)》 2012-01
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Cosmetics Sales Combination Forecasting Based on CBR

Wu Di,Li Sujian,Li Haitao,Liu Bo(School of Mechanical Engineering,University of Science and Technology Bejing,Beijing 100083,China)  
Forecast is critical to sales companies,and its accuracy will directly affect profits and long-term development.Considering the unique life cycle features of cosmetics sales,the combination forecasting model based on CBR(Case-Based Reasoning) is proposed.The CBR can compensate for insufficient data of short life cycle products,and reasoning and calculating the targets' attributes according to the "most similar" are not only more accurate,but also easy to practice.On this basis,the paper puts foreword the improved BASS model and seasonal trends growth model,giving full consideration to seasonal and trend fluctuations in the data series,as well as its complete life cycle characteristics.And then,the AFTER-GA(Aggregated Forecast Through Exponential Re-weighting-Genetic Algorithm) is proposed,taking PSOWv-SVM for its ability to deal with external factors,highlighting the strengths of each model,and so to obtain higher accuracy.Example shows that the AFTER-GA is superior to other methods in accuracy;meanwhile,the combination forecasting model based on CBR can achieve a satisfactory accuracy,and has practical value for cosmetics sales forecast.
【CateGory Index】: F274;F426.72;F224
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 YUAN Xiao-feng XU Hua-long No.3 Dept.,The Second Artillery Engineering Institute,Xi'an 710025 CHEN Shu-hong No.3 Institute,The Second Artillery Armament Academy,Beijing 100085;Ordinal-transformation-based Method for Fast Similarity Search of Time Series[J];Computer Engineering;2007-17
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 WU Da hong,ZHAO Ren da (Department of Bridge and Structural Engineering,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China);Research on the bridge health monitoring system based on genetic algorithms and neural network[J];Building Science Research of Sichuan;2002-03
2 ZHANG An-qin College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, China;Data-mining and Evolutionary Algorithms[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Education;2002-03
3 CHENG Jia-xing,CHEN Wan-li (Educational Department Key Laboratory of Intelligent Computing & Signal Processing,Anhui University, Hefei 230039,China);Calculation analysis and adaptive algorithms for train control problem[J];Journal of Anhui University(Natural Sciences);2002-02
4 Jiang Zhong (Department of Environmental Engineering and Electronics,Anhui Institute of Architecture,Hefei,230022);APPLICATIONS OF GENETIC ALGORITHMS IN OPTIMIZATION OF PID PARAMETERS[J];JOURNAL OF ANHUI INSTITUTE OF ARCHITECTURE;2000-01
5 RUAN Huai zhong 1,ZHANG Jian zhong 2(1 Admissions Office of Anhui Province,Hefei,230022,China;2 Anhui Bureau of radio film and television,Hefei,230022,China);SOLVING TSP BASED ON AN IMPROVED GENETIC ALGORITHM[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2003-04
6 CHEN Jie 1,ZHOU Dong-hua 2(1 Department. of Computer & Information Engineering, Anhui Institute of Architecture & Industry,Hefei,230022,China;2 Department. of Automation, University of Science & Technology of China,Hefei,230027);THE APPLICATION OF FLOAT-ENCODING GENETIC ALGORITHM IN OPTIMIZING PARAMETERS OF FUZZY CONTROLLER[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2004-02
7 FANG Qian-sheng(Department of Computer and Information Engineering, Anhui Institute of Architecture & Industry, Hefei, 230022, China);RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT OF EVOLVABLE HARDWARE(EHW)[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture;2004-06
8 YANG Yi(School of Electronic and Information Engineering,Anhui University of Architecture,Hefei 230601,China);The solving knapsack problem based on FPGA[J];Journal of Anhui Institute of Architecture & Industry(Natural Science);2010-04
9 LIU Yan-hua et al(Environment and Municipal Engineering Institute,Xian University of Architecture and Technology,Xian,Shaanxi 710055);Prediction of PM_(10) Pollution Concentration in Heating Season Based on Genetic Algorithms and Neural Network[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2009-16
10 YE Yong et al(Anhui Agricultural University Provincial Key Laboratory of Agricultural Information Science,Hefei,Anhui 230000);Optimization Study on Livestock Cold-chain Distribution under Modified Genetic Algorithm[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2011-17
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 YANG Yi,FANG Qian-sheng,WANG Li-jun (Department of Computer and Information Engineering,Anhui Institute of Architecture and Industry,Hefei 230022,China);The Design Method Research and Implementation of The Digital Chip Based on Handel-C[A];[C];2005
2 Hu Yang-lin~(1,2),Jiang Jie-qiong~(1,2),Wang Ming-huang~(1,2),Zeng Qin~(1,2),Qiu Yue-feng~(1,2),Zou Jun~(1,2), ChenHong-li~(1,2),FDS Team (1 Institute of Plasma Physics,Chinese Academy of Science,Hefei of Anhui Province,230031, 2 University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei of Anhui Province,230027 );Neutronic Optimal Analysis for the Transmutation of the Long-Lived Minor Actinides of the Fusion-fission hybrid Reactor[A];[C];2010
3 Sun Yan1,2,Sun Zheng2,Huang Kun3 1.College of Engineering,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,P.R.China2.College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,P.R.China3.The 28 Research Institute,Electronics Technology Group Corporation of China,Nanjing 210007,P.R.China;An Isolation Niche Hybrid Genetic Algorithm Based on Simulated Annealing Method[A];[C];2007
4 Sun Yan1,2,Sun Zheng2 1.College of Engineering,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,P.R.China2.College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,P.R.China;Using Orthogonal Genetic Algorithm to Optimize Location of Traffic Counting Points[A];[C];2007
5 Guo Yutang,Liu Lulu Department of Computer Science and Technology in Hefei Normal College,Hefei 230061,P.R.China;An Edge Detection Method Based on Good Point Set Genetic Algorithm[A];[C];2008
6 Liu Xiang,Zou Fengxing,Zhang Xiangping,Gao Zheng College of Mechatronics Engineering and Automation,National University of Defense Technology,Changsha 410073,P.R.China;Hybrid Flow-shop Scheduling Problem Based on Saving Energy[A];[C];2008
7 WANG Min-le~1 GAO Xiao-guang~2 1(The Second Artillery Engineering Institute,Xi'an,710025) 2(Electronic Engineering Department of Northwestern Poiytechnical University,Xi'an,710072);Quantitative Analysis and Prevention of Genetic Algorithm Premature Convergence[A];[C];2003
8 Tian Zhandong Zhang Zhenyu (Department of Applied Physics, Institute of Science, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha, 410073);Applying Genetic Algorithm to Determine Parameters in the Reaction model of Heterogeneous explosives[A];[C];2004
9 Chunguang Xiong Xichen Sun Qiansheng Cheng (School of Mathematical Sciences,Peking University,Beijing 100871);Attribute Mean Kohonen Self-organizing Net Based on Evolving Program[A];[C];1999
10 Liu Xueguan Chen Xueqin Zhao Heming (Suzhou University,Suzhou,Jiangsu,215021);A Study to Overlapping Speech Separation Based on Improved Genetic Algorithms[A];[C];2001
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 WANG Yong-mei1,HU Xue-gang2 (1.School of Information and Computer,Anhui Agricultural University,Hefei 230036,China;2.School of Computer and Information,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230022,China);Research of ID3 algorithm in decision tree[J];Journal of Anhui University(Natural Science Edition);2011-03
2 LIU He et al(College of Information and Technology Science,Jilin Agricultural University,Jilin,Changchun 130118);Research on Vegetable Diagnosis and Treatment Expert System Based on CBR[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2010-27
3 WANG Wei, LIU Mao (Center for Urban Public Safety Research, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071 , China);Method of emergency resources demand forecasting based on case-based reasoning[J];Journal of Safety and Environment;2010-05
4 LI Hai-bo1,ZHENG Xiu-ping1,2,CHAI Tian-you1,2(1.State Key Laboratory of Synthetical Automation for Process Industry,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110819,China;2.Research Center of Automation,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110819,China.);Hybrid Intelligent Optimal Control in Flotation Processes[J];Journal of Northeastern University(Natural Science);2012-01
5 FENG Zhen(Shanxi University of Finance & Economic Taiyuan 030006 China);On Case-based Reasoning System of Coal Mine Accident Emergency Relief[J];Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition);2012-02
6 Li Xin1,Zha Jingmin1,Li Haojie2,Zhuang Hongtao2(1.School of Management and Economics,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300072,China; 2.CCCC First Harbor Consultants Co.,Ltd.,Tianjin 300222,China);Port Engineering Risk Evaluation Based on Case-Based Reasoning[J];Port Engineering Technology;2011-05
7 LIU He,CHEN Gui-fen,LI Dong-ming,CAO Li-ying(College of Information and Technology Science,Jilin Agricultural University,Changchun 130118,China);Realization of Ginseng disease diagnosis and treatment expert system based on CBR[J];Guangdong Agricultural Sciences;2011-16
8 ZHANG Tian-yun1,CHEN Kui2,WANG Xiu-li1,GU Li2(1.Center of Information and Network;2.College of Peili Engineering Technology, Lanzhou City University,Lanzhou 730070,China);Determination of Objective Weights for Evaluation Indices of Engineering Materials by Improved Entropy Method[J];Materials for Mechanical Engineering;2012-03
9 LI Jue1,XIAO Li-hong1,HUANG Qi2(1.School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,Changsha University of Science & Technology, Changsha,Hunan 410004,China;2.Hunan Communication Polytechnic,Changsha 410132,China);Research of Estimating Construction Cost of Highway Engineering Based on Case Based Reasoning[J];Journal of Changsha University of Science & Technology(Social Science);2013-01
10 LI Meng-xing (Chengde Power Supply Company, Chengde 067000, China);Research and Implementation of Power Equipment Fault Infrared Diagnosis System[J];Electric Power Information Technology;2013-02
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved