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《Journal of Beijing Union University》 2018-01
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Inbound Tourism Seasonality:An Empirical Analysis of Hangzhou Data

Zheng Zhaoyan;Tourism College of Zhejiang;  
On the basis of quarterly and monthly inbound tourist arrivals from 1996 to 2016 in Hangzhou,the article explores the inbound tourism seasonality by means of seasonal adjustment method such as X12-ARIMA,TRAMO/SEATS,and HP filter. The result shows that,firstly the inbound tourism in Hangzhou is slowly on the rise,accompanied by two rounds of cyclical fluctuations; secondly inbound tourism has obvious seasonal characteristics with a long period of shoulder seasons; thirdly the monthly inbound tourist arrivals are more susceptibly influenced by irregular factors. Finally,these conclusions are used to give advices to the development of inbound tourism in Hangzhou.
【Fund】: 2017年度浙江省软科学研究计划一般项目(2017C35069);; 2017年浙江省教育厅一般科研项目(Y201737283);; 2017年度浙江省社科联研究重点课题(2017Z05);; 2017年浙江省统计青年研究课题(2017ZJTJ02);; 2016年浙江旅游职业学院青年科研团队培育项目(PYT201602)共同资助
【CateGory Index】: F592.7
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