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《Journal of Railway Science and Engineering》 2011-02
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Forecasting model of deep foundation pits deformation based on grey markov chain theory

HUANG Chuan-sheng1,2,ZHANG Jia-sheng1(1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Central South University,Changsha 410075 China;2.Jiangxi Zhongchang Construction Works Consulting and Supervision Co Ltd,Nanchang 330002,China)  
Based on the grey markov chain theory,a gray markov chain forecasting method to calculate excavation deformation of deep foundation pits was proposed and two deformation forecasting models were built which are metabolism GM(1,1) model and gray markov chain model.The results show that the calculation accuracy of these two models can satisfy the forecasting requirements of construction.Every index calculated from Markov chain models is superior to that calculated from metabolism GM(1,1) model.The results have certain reference value for similar researches.
【CateGory Index】: TU753
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