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《Contemporary Economy & Management》 2009-09
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An Empirical Study of the Relationship between RMB Exchange Rate and Trade Structure

Tian Xu(School of Economics,Beijing University,Nanjing 210093,China)  
This paper,by means of cointegration,vector error correction( VEC) model and impulse response function( IRF) ,fully ananlyzes the impact of fluctuation in RMB exchange rate on trade structure both in short term and in the long run. The conclusion is that the appreciation of RMB exchange rate has a positive effect on China’ s trade structure in the long run while it has a negative effect in short term. The steady appreciation of RMB is conducive to the optimization and upgrading of China's trade structure.
【Fund】: 国家社会科学基金重点项目《外贸顺差问题研究》(08AJY004)的阶段性成果
【CateGory Index】: F224;F832.6;F752
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