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《Fault-Block Oil & Gas Field》 2018-03
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Application of dynamic forecasting method to oil field multi-peak production prediction

MIAO Feifei;CNOOC China Limited,Tianjin Branch;  
Oilfield production is a dynamic system. The fixed parameters model of production forecast ignores the variability of system parameters, which leads to the prediction error getting bigger and bigger with the increasing prediction period. Because of the stimulation treatment and the oilfield comprehensive adjustment, the oil field production curve has multiple peaks. In this paper,through a large number of literature investigation and research, the multi-peak forecasting model by professor Chen Yuanqian and the multi-level recursive method by professor Han Zhigang were chosen to study the multi-peak forecasting. According to the practical application, the research result is practical and effective, which has a strong application value in oilfield multi-peak production prediction.
【Fund】: 国家科技重大专项课题“渤海油田加密调整及提高采收率油藏工程技术示范”(2016ZX05058-001)
【CateGory Index】: TE328
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