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《Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences)》 2011-01
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Research on the Competition between High-Speed Rail and Air Transport

ZHANG Xu,LUAN Wei-xin,CAI Quan-de Transportation Management College,Dalian Maritime University,Dalian 116026,China  
This paper has chosen four measurement indicators for analysis,time cost,economic cost,comfort and safety,on the basis of the elaboration of the competition between high-speed rail and air transport as well as the analysis of recessive factors which influence travelers` transportation choice.In addition,taking the transport distance as the primary variable,we established a competition model of high-speed rail and air transport by means of the logit equation based on utility theory.Through the application example of the calculation of the constructed models and analysis by combining high-speed rail and air transportation competitive chart,a conclusion has been obtained that when the transport distance falls in the 600-1400 kilometers range,the substituted effect of high-speed rail reaches the peak and competition becomes most fierce.Finally,we analyzed the influence of the price fluctuation of high-speed rail upon the changes of the competition for the distance between the two,which means 0.1 Yuan/passenger kilometer down of the high-speed rail ticket price will contribute to 124.7 kilometers rise of the substituted distance.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(40871063)
【CateGory Index】: F530;F560
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