DYNAMIC SIMULATION OF THE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION SYSTEM IN HUINAN COUNTY
Yu Side(Chengdu Institute of Geography, Academia Sinica)
In order to establish a stable and high-efficient agricultural production system (APS) in Huinan county, and to control the dynamic behaviour in the future, this paper, analyzes first the physical conditions and the problems of the APS in the present time, and then establishes the longterm and dynamic development model of the APS with the theory and method of system dynamicsThe following points are defined through studies.1 ) . The agricultural resourses of the APS in Huinan county are very rich, but they are not utilized fully and effectively. There are still a lot of problems in the APS, and the present decision of agriculture is not satisfactory for the APS.2 ) . In the future, the first important task is to raise the economic effect of the APS, and pay much attention to both ecologic effect and social effect. According to the analysis of the simulation results, the "Comprehensive Development Plan" is the best play for the APS in Huinan county.