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《Progress in Geophysics》 2012-01
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Seismic risk zoning in Bohai and its inspiration to engineering earthquake resistance

PENG Yan-ju1,LU Yue-jun1,XU Jie2,RONG Mian-shui1,ZHANG Li-fang1,WANG Jun-qin3(1.Institute of Crustal Dynamics,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100085,China; 2.Institute of Geology,China Earthquake Administration,Beijing 100029,China; 3.Bejing Research Center of China National Oil Company,Beijing 100010,China)  
This article carries out an comprehensive evaluation on the seismicity and seismotectonic environments of Bohai Sea,sums up the new viewpoints on the division of potential seismic source zone,calculates the seismic risk,and makes an analysis on the seismic ground motion zontation.On this basis,the shape parameter of seismic risk curve,that is K,is introduced to delineate the seismic risk zone.The differences of seismic risk caused by seismic activity environment are demonstrated by the seismic risk curves at different sites.The ratios of ground motion for 3 exceeding probabilities illustrate the necessity of seismic risk zonation.The results show that:(1) There exists no fixed proportion between the ground motion of different exceeding probabilities,and it is effected by regional seismic environment,the combination of seismic risk zonation and seismic ground motion parameter zonation is a proper and comprehensive representation of seismic risk.(2) For the general engineering,the small earthquake is deduced from the ground motion with a exceeding probability of 10% in 50 years on the seismic ground motion zonation map,and their exceeding probability in different region are inconsistent with each other,and the fortification goals have no scientific guarantee.The ground motion of ductility level for the offshore platform design deduced from that of strength level also has no consistent exceeding probabilities.(3) The combination of seismic risk zonation and seismic ground motion zonation or compiling the seismic zoning map against collapse is the scientific choice for the general engineering,and for the offshore platform,the explicit exceeding probability of ductility design earthquake should be determined.
【Fund】: 财政部2007年公益性行业科研专项200708055;; 国家科技支撑计划课题(2006BAC13B02)联合资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.9
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