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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 1992-01
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SELF-ORGANIZATION AND EVOLUTION OF SEISMICITY

Gu HAO-DING SUN WEN-FU(The Seismological Bureau of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110031)  
Self-organization behaviours and fractal phenomena in seismicity are described with affer-shock sequence data in the paper. Making use of seismic frequency as order parameter, the master equation of order parameter which represents regular evolution of seismicity is established by means of adiabatic elimination principle. With resulting solutions of the master equation, we can explain different seismicity phenomena including pre-seismic, impending and post-seismic activity, and change in order under whole process of major earthquake. A significant result is that internal fluctuation of earthquake fault system at critical point is able to enlarge by oneself. It is self-enlargement of the fluctuation which leads to the phase trasition of system is unpredictable.because of randomeness of the quake. The seismicity'behaviour at critical point is unpredictable because of randomeness of the fluctuation.
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