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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 1999-S1
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LIN ZHEN-SHAN (The Department of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)  
The predictability of climatic or atmospheric systems is discussed in this paper. The study results show that the linear systems, one-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems and two-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems are numerically predictable, and results of numerical prediction will be better than that of statistics for these systems. But the methods of statistical prediction are more rigorous than that of numerical prediction for the chaos systems. There are limits of predicatable times for the developing behaviour of non-chaos region of a chaos system and for the non-chaos system.
【Fund】: 国家重点基础研究发展规划项目
【CateGory Index】: P45
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Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 SHI Shao-Ying 1 , LIU Shi-Da 1 , FU Zun-Tao 1 , LIU Shi-Kuo 1 , LIANG Fu-Ming 1 , XIN Guo-Jun 1 , LI Bai-Lian 2 1 Department of Atmosphere Science, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China2 Ecological Complexity and Modeling Laboratory, Department of Botany & Plant Sciences, University of California Riverside CA92521-0124;The characteristic analysis of weather and climate time series[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2005-02
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 CHENG QIAN-SHENG;ZHOU XIAO-BO (Mathematic instItute, Peking University, Bejing 100871, China)ZHU YING-SHAN (Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin 150080, China);CLUSTER ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE JUMP[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;1998-03
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6 Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan Zhang Zhousheng;The Prediction of Daily Discharge Time Series Based on Chaos Dynamics[J];JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY;1998-12
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Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
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