Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 1999-S1
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

THE DISCUSS OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF CLIMATIC OR ATMOSPHERIC SYSTEM

LIN ZHEN-SHAN (The Department of Atmospheric Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China)  
The predictability of climatic or atmospheric systems is discussed in this paper. The study results show that the linear systems, one-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems and two-dimensional autonomous dynamic systems are numerically predictable, and results of numerical prediction will be better than that of statistics for these systems. But the methods of statistical prediction are more rigorous than that of numerical prediction for the chaos systems. There are limits of predicatable times for the developing behaviour of non-chaos region of a chaos system and for the non-chaos system.
【Fund】: 国家重点基础研究发展规划项目
【CateGory Index】: P45
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 SHI Shao-Ying 1 , LIU Shi-Da 1 , FU Zun-Tao 1 , LIU Shi-Kuo 1 , LIANG Fu-Ming 1 , XIN Guo-Jun 1 , LI Bai-Lian 2 1 Department of Atmosphere Science, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China2 Ecological Complexity and Modeling Laboratory, Department of Botany & Plant Sciences, University of California Riverside CA92521-0124;The characteristic analysis of weather and climate time series[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;2005-02
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 6 Hits
1 CHENG QIAN-SHENG;ZHOU XIAO-BO (Mathematic instItute, Peking University, Bejing 100871, China)ZHU YING-SHAN (Harbin University of Science and Technology, Harbin 150080, China);CLUSTER ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE JUMP[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;1998-03
2 LIU TAI-ZHONG; RONG PING-PING; LIU SHI-DA; ZHENG ZU-GUANG; LIU SHI-KUO (Department of Geophysics ,Peking University ,Beijing 100871l.)(Beijing Institute of Meteorology,Beijing 100081.);WAVELET ANALYSIS OF CLIMATE JUMP[J];Chinese Journal of Geophysics;1995-02
3 Gong Daoyi and Wang Shaowu (Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing 100871);The North Atlantic Oscillation Index and Its Interdecadal Variability[J];SCIENTIA ATMOSPHERICA SINICA;2000-02
4 HUANG Rong hui XU Yu hong ZHOU Lian tong (Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080);THE INTERDECADAL VARIATION OF SUMMER PRECIPITATIONS IN CHINA AND THE DROUGHT TREND IN NORTH CHINA[J];PLATEAU METEOROLOGY;1999-04
5 Quan Xianzhang Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan;The Application of Chaotic Prediction Technique in Runoff Forecast[J];JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY;1999-12
6 Wen Quan Zhang Yongchuan Zhang Zhousheng;The Prediction of Daily Discharge Time Series Based on Chaos Dynamics[J];JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY;1998-12
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 8 Hits
1 LUO Long-cheng et al (Department of the Resources & Environment Science,Mianyang Normal College,Mianyang,Sichuan 621000);R/S Analysis on Climate Changes in Nanchong in Recent 50 Years[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences;2007-13
2 ZHANG Guo-cun,ZHA Liang-song(College of Territorial Resources and Tourism;Anhui Normal University; Wuhu 241003,China);Analysis on the Future Tendency of Climate Change in Nanjing in the Last 50 Years[J];Journal of Anhui Normal University(Natural Science);2008-06
3 FENG Xin-ling1,2,4,LUO Long-cheng1,4,QIU LI-li 1,4,FENG Zi-li3(1.Department of the Resources & Environment Science,Mianyang Normal University,MianyangSichuan,621000,China;2.Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China;3.Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan Sichuan,618307,China;4.School of Numerical Modeling for Environment and Climate Change,Mianyang Normal University,Mianyang Sichuan,621000,China;5.National Research Center for Urban Wastewater Treatment andResourcezation,Mianyang Sichuan,621900,China);Fractal research of rainy day changing trend from Tibetan Plateau to Eastern China[J];Geographical Research;2007-04
4 YU Nan-hua1,2,ZHU Wen-yao1,2(1.Shanghai Astronomical Observatory,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Shanghai 200030,China;2.National Astronomical Observatory,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100012,China);Application of GPS Radio occultation data in global climate change study[J];Progress in Geophysics;2008-03
5 DONG Shan1,XU Jian-hua1,CHEN Yaning2,LI Wei-hong2,DAI Xiao-yan1(1 Geography Department of East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China.2 Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Urumqi 830011,Xinjiang,China);Fractal characteristics of annual mean temperature of the Tarim Basin[J];Arid Land Geography;2009-01
6 ZHANG Yongchui,ZHANG Lifeng(Institute of Meteorology,PLA University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 211101,China);Rossby Waves in the North Pacific Ocean:A Review[J];Advances in Earth Science;2009-11
7 LUO Long-cheng1,2,3,5,FENG Xin-ling2,3,4,CHEN Feng1,HU Rui-lin4(1.National Research Center for Urban Wastewater Treatment and Resourcezation,Mianyang,Sichuan,621900) (2.Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081)(3.Institute of Numerical Modeling for Environment and Climate Change,Mianyang Normal University,Mianyang,621000)(4.Department of the Resources and Environment Science,Mianyang Normal University,Mianyang,621000)(5.Sichuan Engineering Research Center for Sullage Treatment and Resourcezation,Mianyang,621900);A Study of the Extreme Climate Change of Nanchong in Recent 50 Years[J];Journal of Mianyang Normal University;2007-08
8 ZHANG Jin-song1,MENG Ping1,GAO Jun1,WANG He-song1,REN Qing-fu1,JIA Chang-rong2(1.Research Institute of Forestry,CAF;Key Laboratory of Tree Breeding and Cultivation,State Forestry Administration,Beijing 100091,China; 2.Dagouhe Forest Farm of Jiyuan,Jiyuan 454650,He'nan,China);Predictability Time Scale and Fractal Characteristics of Temporal Variation of Eucommia ulmoides Plantation Transpiration[J];Forest Research;2009-06
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved