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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 2009-12
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Modeling the influence of spring Hadley circulation on the summer tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific

ZHOU Bo-Tao~(1,2), CUI Xuan~31 Narisen-Zhu International Research Center,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences ,Beijing 100029, China2 National Climate Center, Beijing 100081,China3 National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081, China,  
The spring Hadley circulation is observed to be negatively correlated to the summer tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific.This relationship is linked by the summer atmospheric circulation anomalies resulting from the anomalous spring Hadley circulation.To examine the authenticity of such a relationship indicated by the observation,a simulation on the strong spring Hadley circulation scenario by IAP9L-AGCM is performed,and the response of the environmental conditions affecting the tropical cyclone genesis is analyzed in the present study. Results show that in relation to the strong spring Hadley circulation,larger magnitude of the vertical zonal wind shear and the anomalous low-level divergence and upper-level cdtivergence are predominated in the western North Pacific in summer.The East Asian summer monsoon is also weakened.Such an atmospheric circulation background is unfavorable for the tropical cyclone genesis,and thus the tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific is decreased.The numerical simulation supports the observation,demonstrating the existence of the out-of-phase relationship between the spring Hadley circulation and the summer tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific.So,the variation of the spring Hadley circulation can be a potential indicator in predicting summer tropical cyclone activities in the western North Pacific.
【Fund】: 中国科学院知识创新工程领域前沿项目(IAP09302);; 国家自然科学基金项目(40805029 40775049 90711004);; 国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2009CB421407)资助.
【CateGory Index】: P732
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