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《Chinese Journal of Geophysics》 2014-02
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A review of prospective prediction for the Yutian 7.3 earthquake in Xinjiang province and an analysis on future earthquake situation

QIN Si-Qing;XUE Lei;LI Pei;LI Guo-Liang;Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics,Institute of Geology and Geophysics,Chinese Academy of Sciences;  
Based on the brittle failure theory of multiple locked patches in a seismogenic fault system and associated prediction method developed by us,the prediction results,including the magnitude,place,critical strain,and hypocentral depth of the oncoming strong earthquake for Yutian seismic zone have been published in advance.In comparison with the Yutian MS7.3earthquake in Xinjiang occurred on 12February 2014,they are almost identical,which indicates that our prospective prediction results are credible.Meanwhile,it is shown that the most immediate cause leading to the Yutian 7.3earthquake occurred in Xinjiang is attributed to the Yutian-Cele ML6.6earthquake swarm events in 2008.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金委重点项目(41030750)资助
【CateGory Index】: P315.2
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