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《Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences》 2007-06
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Some Advances in the Researches of the Western North Pacific Typhoon Climate Variability and Prediction

WANG Hui-Jun,FAN Ke,SUN Jian-Qi,LANG Xian-Mei,and LIN Mei-JingInstitute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100029  
This paper briefly reviewed the studies of the relationships between the typhoon activity and the atmospheric circulation as well as the sea surface temperature in the first part.Then the authors introduced some new research results about the interannual variability and prediction of the typhoon climate,including the frequency of typhoon genesis and landfall,as well as the typhoon climate prediction by using both the numerical climate model and the dynamical-statistical model.These researches relate the Antarctic oscillation,the North Pacific oscillation,sea ice coverage,and thermal state of the warm pool over the western Pacific.On the prediction aspect,the paper introduced the first attempt to make the seasonal prediction of the typhoon climate by use of the climate model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,and a new dynamical-statistical model for the prediction of the typhoon frequency.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金项目40631005、40620130113、40775049
【CateGory Index】: P461;P444
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