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《Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences》 2016-01
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The Impact of Climate Change on the Socioeconomic System: A Mechanistic Analysis

CHOU Jieming;DONG Wenjie;YAN Xiaodong;State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, Beijing Normal University;  
This research is based on the opinion that the temporal and spatial scales of climate change and those of the impact on the economic system should match. Based on this idea, we discuss how climate change influences the economic system through different temporal and spatial scales. Climate warming has a significant impact on the system in terms of factors operating at inter-decadal scales, such as the cryosphere, sea level rise, water resources, land cover/ecosystems, microbiology and human health, but has almost no effect on the system in terms of factors that have diurnal, seasonal and interannual cycles, such as the economy. The economic system is not directly influenced by climate change because of the mismatch in their temporal scales. However, the indirect impacts of climate change, such as the increasing frequency of extreme events and human adaptation, have a much greater influence on the economic system.
【Fund】: 国家重大科学研究计划2012CB9557001;; 国家自然科学基金项目41575001~~
【CateGory Index】: F124;P467
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