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《Chinese Journal of Control of Endemic Disenaces》 2002-01
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Dynamic models of human brucellosis in Jilin Province druing 1950-2000

LU Jing-sheng, LI Zhong-lai, ZHAO Yong-li, et al (First Institute of Endemic Disease Research of Jilin Province, Baicheng 137000)  
Objective To study on the dynamic laws of the human brucellosis in Jilin Province during 1950-2000.Methods The autoregressive models of population, new cases and incidence rate for human brucellosis dynamics were set up.Results Dynamic models ARIMA(2,1,0) of population, AR(3) of the new cases the incidence rates were obtained respectively.Couclusions These general trends of the human brucellosis happened are relative stables.
【CateGory Index】: R516.7
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