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《Environmental Science & Technology》 2012-12
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A Scenario Analysis of CO_2 Emission and CO_2 Emission Reduction in Xiamen's Industrial Energy End-Use

YANG Xi-ai1,2,3,CUI Sheng-hui1,2,LIN Jian-yi1,2, GAO Li-jie1,2,CHENG Hui-qing4,XU Li-nai1,2(1.Key Lab of Urban Environment and Health,Institute of Urban Environment,CAS,Xiamen 361021,China; 2.Xiamen Key Lab of Urban Metabolism,Xiamen 361021,China; 3.Xiamen Environmental Monitoring Centre,Xiamen 361003,China; 4.Fujian Provincial Research Institute for Electric Power,Fuzhou 350005,China)  
Based on the carbon dioxide emission coefficients of electricity/heat sectors of Xiamen city,the accounting method of end-use energy consumption was developed,which resulted in CO2 emission amounts and intensities of energy industrial sectors as well as other sectors such as chemical fiber,non-metallic mining and chemical industries.The results were compared with those of the direct-method recommended by the IPCC,which indicated the chief factors affecting the carbon emission intensity were energy consumption intensity,and the status of power structure,industrial energy structure and industrial structure.Through analyzing carbon emission-cutting potential of the city,the authors predicted the decreases of CO2 emission intensities with the scenarios of the 12th Five-year Planning and of the idealized hypothesis respectively in 2015.Similarly,and the increases of CO2 emission amounts with the scenarios of the 12th Five-year Planning with the target,i.e,$150 billion of the industrial-added-value,and of the idealized hypothesis respectively were predicted as well.
【CateGory Index】: X502
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