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《Radiation Protection》 2013-03
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Failure Probability Analysis on Transport Containers for Radioactive Material: A Monte Carlo Approach

Wang Renze1,2,Zhuang Dajie1,Wang Xuexin1(1.China Institute for Radiation Protection,Taiyuan 030006; 2.Department of Engineering Physics in Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084)  
Considering the randomness of main assessment parameters such as mechanical stress level and fire temperature,importance sampling Monte Carlo simulation method is used in this work to code a computer program in Matlab to calculate the failure probability of the container in a certain confidence level.The results show that Monte Carlo method can reflect objective uncertainty of assessment parameters and it's an effective complement to historical records and experiments.
【CateGory Index】: TL932.1
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