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Strategic Decisions for Groping Ball Based on the Criteria of Expected Monetary Value and Expected Value of Perfect Information

JIN Zi1,TIAN Zheng2(1Department of Stctstics, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada M5S 1A1;2Department of Mathematics and Information Science, Northwestern Polytechnical University, Xi'an 710072)  
Studies on the problem about fumbling ball in probarility theory by using the criteria of expected monetary value (EMV) and expected value of perfect informatim (EVPI) in decisim theory. Combining the criteria of EMV and EVPI and Bayes method, the problem of groping ball is perfeotly solved by the method in decison theory.
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