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《Journal of Industrial Technological Economics》 2018-07
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The Nonlinear of Industry Agglomeration on Economic Growth in China:An Empirical Study on the PSTR Model

Zhao Yanping;Wang Pengyu;Xie Yuantao;School of Economics,Ocean University of China;Shandong Economic Development Investment Company Limited;  
On the basis of theory model,in order to study the nonlinear effect of China industry agglomeration on economic growth,we use the data of 31 provinces in China during the period of 1987 to 2016 by Panel Smooth Threshold Regression model.Our results suggest a threshold effect between industry agglomeration and economic growth: the regression coefficient of the industrial agglomeration and economic growth changes gradually from 0. 3533 to-0. 3815. In the process of smooth transition,industry agglomeration significantly promotes economic growth at the early stage of agglomeration,but the effect of industry agglomeration on growth is weaker over the threshold level of 1. 41. The conclusions further show that the industrial agglomeration level is relatively low in the mid-west region of China,where agglomeration can promote economic growth. However,regional industrial agglomeration is high in most of eastern region,and few provinces even have excessive industry agglomeration over threshold value,where agglomeration has a negative effect on economic growth.
【Fund】: 山东省社会科学规划研究项目“山东对外经贸领域在‘一带一路’建设中面临的不确定性和风险研究”(项目编号:17CQXJ05)
【CateGory Index】: F124.1;F424
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