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Empirical Analysis on Impact of ASEAN Trade Facilitation on Chinese Manufactured Goods Export Growth

SUN Lin XU Xu-Fei  
This paper measures the trade facilitation using indexes of airport infrastructure,custom burden and prevalence of trade barriers.It also empirically analyzes the impact of ASEAN trade facilitation on China-ASEAN regional manu-factured goods export performance.The results indicate that the quality improve-ment of ASEAN airport infrastructure has significant effect on China-ASEAN re-gional manufactured goods export flow.Specifically,1 percent of quality improve-ment can increase regional trade by 1.48 percent.However,custom burden and prevalence of trade barriers has insignificant effect.On the basis of previous esti-mated parameters’ coefficient,the paper designs two simulation scenarios to ana-lyze the impact of ASEAN trade facilitation on Chinese manufactured goods ex-port.The results tell us if every country in ASEAN can enhance their airport in-frastructure to regional average level(5.2),Chinese manufactured goods export to ASEAN could increase by 39.34%.If every country in ASEAN can enhance their airport infrastructure to the regional highest level(6.9),Chinese manufac-tured goods export to ASEAN could increase by 70.95%.
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