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《Prices Monthly》 2018-05
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An Analysis of Smooth Energy Trade of Line Countries of“the Belt and Road”based on GTAP Model

LEI Hui-fang;MA Yuan;Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics;  
By using global trade analysis model, with changing technological trade barrier as impact condition, this paper takes a deep analysis of the smooth trade in energy field of line countries of "the Belt and Road"Initiative. The simulation result indicates that: the decrease in technological trade barrier in line countries of "the Belt and Road"Initiative produces positive influence on social welfare of China and line countries, trade condition and energy import and export of China from each region and main countries. The decrease in technological trade barrier brings positive direction premium effect to line countries and negative direction premium effect to non-line countries, and the positive direction effect on China is the most significant.
【Fund】: 新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金项目——“一带一路”沿线国家天然气贸易网络演化及中国的应对策略(编号:2017D01A22)
【CateGory Index】: F125;F416.2
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