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《On Economic Problems》 2018-01
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An Analysis on the Determinants of the Imports of China from the International Perspective

XUE Jin-qi;DUAN Ditao;Institute of Economics,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law;  
Based on the panel model of January 2002-May 2017,this paper makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between the real effective exchange rate,the unemployment rate,CPI and the total import volume of four regions in the United States,Europe,Hong Kong and japan. The results show that: in terms of the total amount,the real effective exchange rate is negatively correlated with the total amount of imports; the unemployment rate and CPI are positively correlated with the total amount of China imports. As far as the region is concerned,the increase of the exchange rate of each region is positively correlated with the import of China; the reduction of the income caused by the increase of the unemployment rate in most of the regions,and thus promoted the total import volume of China. The policy implication is that we can control the RMB exchange rate and monitor the foreign unemployment rate to adjust the balance of import of the relevant industries in China.
【Fund】: 国家社会科学基金项目(10BGL075)
【CateGory Index】: F752.61
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