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《Research of Agricultural Modernization》 2011-01
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An Empirical Study on Influencing Factors of Fluctuation and Policy Suggestions in Hog Production in Hunan

PAN Guo-yan1a,LONG Fang1b(1.Hunan Agricultural University,a.Business School,b.Economic School,Changsha,Hunan 410128,China)  
This paper,adopting the H-P Wave Method,finds that there are five fluctuation cycles in the hog production while taking the slaughtering amount of hogs in Hunan province during 1978 to 2007 as the object of study.After a quantitative analysis,it concludes that the internal transmission mechanism of the hog production systems on pig production fluctuations accounted for 71.56%.The internal factors of conduction are output value of animal husbandry,rural per capita net income,per capita output of pork and rural population.To lessen the fluctuation,and promote the healthy development of hog production industry in Hunan,it is necessary to construct a policy system based on the market mechanism.
【Fund】: 湖南社科基金项目“湖南生猪生产波动与政策研究”(编号:07YBB184);; 湖南哲学社会科学成果评审委员会项目“湖南生猪产量波动及地区差异比较研究”(编号:0803033B);; 湖南教育厅课题“湖南生猪的产业组织研究”(编号:08C405)
【CateGory Index】: F326.3
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 3 Hits
1 Research Group (Hunan University,Changsha,410079);Empirical Research on Hunan's Pig-breeding Fluctuations[J];The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics;2003-01
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【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 9 Hits
1 Focus group of Research on Fluctuation of Hunan's Business Cycle Since Reform and Its Early Warning ( Economic Research Centre, Hunan University, Hunan, Changsha, 410079, China );Forecasting of Growth Rate of Hunan Economy From 2004 to 2010[J];The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics;2004-03
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【Secondary Citations】
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1 QI Ying1,LV Jie1,SONG Lian-xi2(1.Economic and Trade Department in Shenyang Agricultural University,Shenyang,Liaoning 110161,China;2.Liaoning Agricultural Vocation-technical College,Yingkou,Liaoning 115009,China);Discussion and Analysis on Cycles Fluctuation of Hog Industry in China[J];Research of Agricultural Modernization;2007-05
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