The Application Studies of Summer Precipitation Probability Forecasts in Beijing
Zhou Bing;Lu Chen;Zhou Xiaoping(Beijing Meteorological Bureau, 100081 )
he basic characteristics of precipitation probability forecasts (PPS) are analysed. Theprobabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast equation is given by the use of REEP methodbased on the BMNFM. Moreover,the objective results are verified by new weather data andforecaster's knowledge,and the objective PPF and subjective PPF are estimated by B score.