Full-Text Search:
Home|Journal Papers|About CNKI|User Service|FAQ|Contact Us|中文
《China Tropical Medicine》 2001-01
Add to Favorite Get Latest Update

Study on mathematical model of dengue fever and its application( I )─With reviewing Newton's model of dengue fever

WU Kai-Lu, WU Kai-chen, CHEN Wen-jiang, ZHAO Zhi-guo, (Institute of Mathematics , Hainan Teachers College , Haikou ,571158.)  
Two large scale epidemics of dengue fever occurred in 1980s in Hainan Province, In order to further reseach the epidemiological rule of dengue fever and evaluate the effects of different control measures, we develop a deterministic differential equation model after having made the flow diagram for dengue fever transmission based on the disease ecology of dengue fever. According to the literatures published in the past a group of basic parameters values have been established. The reliability of the model is examined with two field data of epidemics of dengue fever in Hainan Province and it shows a well coincidence between the observed and the predicted value of the epidemics. It indicated that the model well reflected tile epidemic rule and the quantitative relationship between various epidemiological factors of dengue fever. The effects of several different control measures is also simulated and evaluated(it will be published in another paper) . In addition, we thorough compare our model with Newton' s model about dengue fever.
【Fund】: 海南省自然科学基金资助项目
【CateGory Index】: R512.8
Download(CAJ format) Download(PDF format)
CAJViewer7.0 supports all the CNKI file formats; AdobeReader only supports the PDF format.
【References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 7 Hits
1 XIE Zhao-hui,HUANG Jian-shi.Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College,Beijing100005,China;Study on the Prediction Method of Communicable Disease[J];Chinese General Practice;2008-01
2 CHEN Wen - jiang, WU Kai - chen, WU Kai - lu, et al (Hainan Provincial Institute of Tropical Diseases, Haikou, 570203.);Studies on mathematical model of dengue fever and its application(Ⅱ) ——Using mathematical model to evaluate the effect of different measures on the control of dengue fever[J];China Tropical Medicine;2001-02
3 CHEN Wen - Jiang LI Cai - xu, LIN Ming - he, WU Kai - chen, WU Kai - lu, ZHAO Zhi - guo, Hainan Provincial Institute of Tropical Diseases, Haikou, 570203.;Study on the suitable duration for dengue fever(DF) transmission in a whole year and potential impact on DF by global wanning in Hainan Province[J];China Tropical Medicine;2002-01
4 CHEN Wen-jiang,WU Kai-chen,LI Cai-xu,et al.Hainan Provincial Center for Diseases Control and Prevention,Hainan,P.R.China.;A study on comparison of transmission dynamics among three mosquito born diseases,dengue fever,malaria and fialriasis and its relation with control effect[J];China Tropical Medicine;2003-02
5 WU Kai-chen~1,WU Kai-lu~2.(1.National Institute of Parasitic Diseases,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Shanghai 200025,P.R.China;2.Mathematic Department,Hainan Teachers University,Haikou 571158,Hainan,P.R.China);Epidemiological significance of studies on mathematical model and transmission dynamics of diseases.[J];China Tropical Medicine;2006-12
6 MAO Xiang-hua,ZHANG Zai-xing(Yunnan Institution of Parasitic Diseases,Simao 665000,Yunnan,China);Current situation of the dengue fever in China[J];Journal of Pathogen Biology;2007-05
7 SHI Jia-wei1,SHUAI Chun-jiang2,MAO Guo-hua1,SHI Nan-feng3.1 Ningbo Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Ningbo 315010,Zhejiang Province,China; 2 Jiangbei Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Ningbo; 3 Cixi Center for Disease Control and Prevention;Application of mathematical models in integrated control of imported dengue fever outbreaks[J];Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control;2010-05
【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Liang Fengpin et al (Institute of epidemic control and Prevention of Guangdong Province,Guangzhou,51030);Virological and Serological Surveillance of Dengue Fever in Guangdong 1992~1995[J];DISEASE SURVEILLANCE;1997-11
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 2 Hits
1 CHEN Wen - jiang, WU Kai - chen, WU Kai - lu, et al (Hainan Provincial Institute of Tropical Diseases, Haikou, 570203.);Studies on mathematical model of dengue fever and its application(Ⅱ) ——Using mathematical model to evaluate the effect of different measures on the control of dengue fever[J];China Tropical Medicine;2001-02
2 SHI Jia-wei1,SHUAI Chun-jiang2,MAO Guo-hua1,SHI Nan-feng3.1 Ningbo Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Ningbo 315010,Zhejiang Province,China; 2 Jiangbei Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Ningbo; 3 Cixi Center for Disease Control and Prevention;Application of mathematical models in integrated control of imported dengue fever outbreaks[J];Chinese Journal of Vector Biology and Control;2010-05
【Co-references】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 WU lun,MA Xiu jun,TIAN Yuan (Institute of Remote Sensing & GIS, Beijing University, Beijing 100871,China);Model of Field-based Spatial Dynamic Data and Design of Spatial Dynamic Modeling Language[J];Geography and Territorial Research;2000-04
2 MA Xiu jun 1,ZHOU Gui yun 2,WU Lun 2 (1.Center for Information Sciences Peking University,Beijing 100871; 2.Institute of Remote Sensing and GIS, Peking University, Beijing 100871,China);The Design and Implementation of GIS Component of Spatial Dynamic Modeling[J];Geography and Territorial Research;2002-03
3 ZHANG Wei, ZHANG Yan qi, YANG Xu (Department of Medical Statistics, Third Military Medical University, Changqing 400038, China);Model of multiple seasonal ARIMA and its application to data in time series[J];Acta Academiae Medicine Militaris Tertiae;2002-08
4 SAI Xiao Yong 1, ZHANG Zhi Ying 1, XU De Zhong 1,YAN Yong Ping 1, CAI Kai Ping 2, LI Yue Sheng 2, ZHOU Xiao Nong 3 1Department of Epidemiology, School of Preventive Medicine, Fourth Military Medical University, Xian 710033, China, 2Hunan Institute of Anti epidemic of Schistosomiasis,Yueyang 414000, China, 3Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control & Prevention, Shanghai 200032, China;Application of time series analysis in the prediction of schistosomiasis prevalence in the areas of “breaking dikes or opening sluice for waterstore” in Dongting Lake[J];Journal of The Fourth Military Medical University;2003-24
5 WEN Liang 1, XU De Zhong 1, LIN Ming He 2, XIA Jie Lai 3, ZHANG Zhi Ying 1, SU Yong Qiang 1 1Department of Epidemiology, 3Department of Health Statistics, School of Preventive Medicine, Fourth Military Medical University, Xian 710033, China, 2Sanitary & Epidemic Prevention Station, Wanning City, Wanning 571500, China;Prediction of malaria incidence in malaria epidemic area with time series models[J];Journal of The Fourth Military Medical University;2004-06
6 Qian Jisheng,Wu Hailei,Xu Xingda,et al.Nanjing Entry-exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau,Nanjing 210001,China;Establishing STD/AIDS Forecasting Model with the Artificial Neural Network among Entry-exit Personnels[J];Chinese Journal of Frontier Health and Quarantine;2007-01
7 YU Guohua,HUANG Houkuan(College of Computer and Information Technology,Northern Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China);METHOD OF CHOICE MODEL FOR TIME SERIES[J];Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science);2003-01
8 ;Application of Multivariate Linear Regression Analysis in Energy Forecasting[J];North China Electric Power;2003-11
9 ZHENG Nengxiong, XU Longshang, WANG Zonghan et al. ( Fuzhou Centers for Disease Control, Fujian 350004, China).;Epidemiological Investigation of Dengue Fever and its Control in Suburb of Fuzhou[J];STRAIL JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE;2000-01
10 XIE Shu-yun1 ,WANG Zhen1,YANG Shi-gui1,DONG Hong-jun2,SHI Nan-feng3,LU Yi-yu1.1.Zhejiang Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Hangzhou 310009,China;2.Ningbo Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention;3.Cixi Municipal CDC;An Epidemiologic Investigation And Analysis of an Imported Dengue Fever Epidemic[J];Disease Surveillance;2005-07
【Secondary References】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 HAN Wei-guo~(1, 2), WANG Jin-feng~(1), LIU Xu-hua~(1, 2) Institute of Geographic Sciences & Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; 2. Graduate School of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China);BACK ANALYZING PARAMETERS AND PREDICTING TREND OF SARS TRANSMISSION[J];Advance in Earth Sciences;2004-06
2 WANG Min,TANG Lin-hua. National Institute for Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai 200025,China;The brief introduction of Macdonald model and its application[J];International Journal of Medical Parasitic Diseases;2006-03
3 YANG Kun,WANG Xian-hong,LV Shan,ZHANG Ling,JIA Tie-wu,LI Lian-hua,DENG Yao,ZHOU Xiao-nong. 1.National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Shanghai 200025,China 2.Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases,Wuxi 214064,China;Impact of global warming on transmission of vector-borne diseases in China[J];International Journal of Medical Parasitic Diseases;2006-04
4 ZHANG Yan(Quanzhou Children's Development vocational College,Quanzhou 362000,China);Climate Warming Threats Human Health[J];Journal of Gansu Lianhe University(Natural Science Edition);2009-02
5 WANG Qin,YIN Wen-wu,DOU Feng-man,XU Zhen,LIU Bo,SUN Hui,ZHANG Dong,WANG Xiao-fang,GUO Yu-hong,MENG Feng-xia.The Office for Disease Control and Emergency Response,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention.Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Beijing 100050,China;Dengue fever surveillance in China,2006[J];Disease Surveillance;2009-01
6 ZHANG Qiang~1,YANG Xian-wei~1,YE Dian-xiu~1,XIAO Feng-jin~1,CHENG Zheng-hong~2(1.Laboratory for Climate studies,National Climate Center,Beijing100081,China;2.Wuhan Urban Meteorological Engineering and Technological Center,Wuhan430074,China);Meteorological Characteristics and TheirImpacts during the SARS Epidemic Period[J];Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology;2004-06
7 Kang Suping Huang Sulan Lin Xinwu Putian entry-exit inspection and quarantine bureau of the P.R. China (Putian 351100) Lin qingzhong. Putian Bureau of Health (Putian,351100);Epidemic Analysis and Countermeasures of Dengue Fever in Putian[J];Port Health Control;2009-04
8 KANG Su-ping1HUANG Su-lan 1LIN Xin-wu 1et al (1.Putian Entry-exit Inspection and Quarantine Bureau;2.Putian Bureau of Health,Fujian 351100);Epidemic Analysis and Control Countermeasures of Dengue Fever at Putian Port[J];Science of Travel Medicine;2009-03
9 Tan Jianguo~(1,2) Zheng Youfei~2 (1 Shanghai Urban Environmental Meteorology Research Center,Shanghai 200030;2 Department of Environmental Science and Technology,Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology,Nanjing 210044);Prospects and Progress in Researches on Medical Meteorology in Recent 10 Years[J];;2005-06
10 Chen Zhenghong 1,2 Ye Dianxiu 1 Yang Hongqing 2 Feng Guangliu 2 (1.Laboratory for Climate Studies CMA,Bejing 100081; 2.Wuhan Urban Meteorological Engineering and Technological Center);On Relationship between SARS Epidemic and Weather Conditions in China[J];Meteorological Monthly;2004-02
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Cheng Zhenghong~(1).2) Ye Dianxiu~(1)) Yang Hongqing~(2)) Feng Guangliu~(2))(~(1))Laboratory for Climate Studies CMA,Bejing 100081;~(2))Wuhan Urban Meteorological Engineering and Technological Center, Wuhan 430074);Comparative Study on the Relationship of SARS Epidemic with Weather and Climate in China[A];[C];2004
【Secondary Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 Pan Zhiming; et al;An Epidemiological Investigation and Outbreak on and Dengue Fever in a Courtyard in Guangzhou[J];DISEASE SURVEILLANCE;1995-11
©2006 Tsinghua Tongfang Knowledge Network Technology Co., Ltd.(Beijing)(TTKN) All rights reserved