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The Uncertainty of Rural Residents' Income,Changing Reasons and Influence Factors

Xu Huiqi Wang Jianyu  
We measure the farmers' income uncertainty by the "adjusting deviation rate" and some other variables. The result denotes that income uncertainty mainly caused the income to increase lower than the farmers' expectation during the year 1997 to 2001.However,since 2002,our agricultural policies have produced a good result and have caused the uncertainty factors to make a good impaction on the farmers' income,so that the uncertainty has been driving up the income more than the farmers' expectation since 2002.The finding indicates that completing the rural market,developing modernized agriculture,improving the price of farm products steadily and so on,play a significant role in strengthening the uncertainty's good influence on peasants' income.
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