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《Yellow River》 1996-07
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Application of Grey System Model in Super-long-term Forecasting of Regional Water Pollution Bearing Capability

Xia Jun;Tan Hong (Wuhan Hydroelectric University,Wuhan, 430072)  
In view of the deficiencies of existing forecasting methods,the coefficient changing GM(1,1) model for super-long-term forecast of regional water pollution bearing capability is established by appling the principles of grey system,and furthermore,the pollution bearing capability to each pollution source is estimated through analysis of the grey ratio relations of discharge of each pollution source to total discharge. Practical application shows that the model is applicable and effective.
【CateGory Index】: X832
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