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《Market & Demographic Analysis》 2007-01
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Future Population and Human Capital in China

ZHENG Xiao-ying1,CHEN Gong1,PANG Li-hua1,CAO Gui-ying2, REN Qiang1,LIU Yu-bo1,ZHANG Lei1,JI Ying1 (1 Institute of Population Research,Peking University,Beijing 100871,Chi na;2 International Institute for Applied System Analysis(IIASA,Austria))  
Employed multi-state model and based on the 2000 population census, the researc h evaluated and adjusted the database and estimated the fertility, mortality, ne t migration and education transfer to project the population size, age structure , urbanization and human capital of China in first 3 decades of twenty-first ce ntury. The result of the population and human capital projection will help the g overnment make decision on evidence based, especially on population planning, so cial insurance, and education etc.
【CateGory Index】: C924.24
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