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《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University》 2005-S1
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The Application of Adaptive Neural Network in Short Term Load Forecasting

ZHAN Yong, CHENG Hao-zhong, DING Yi-feng(School of Electronic, Information and Electrical Eng., Shanghai Jiaotong Univ., Shanghai 200030, China)  
An adaptive prediction model based on chaotic algorithm was applied to short term load forecast of power system. Taking the saturation inset dimension of reconstructed phase space as the input node number of artificial neural network and suitable nonlinear feedback terms are selected, the dynamics of network become chaotic in the weight space. EP evolutionary computation is used to establish a kind of self-adaptive prediction model by which the nonlinear feedback term is optimized according to the outcome of learning and training. It is revealed that the algorithm has good performance in self-adaptive ability, robustness and precision.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(50177017);; 高等学校青年教师教学科研奖励计划
【CateGory Index】: TM715
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【Citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 1 Hits
1 LI Ke\|ping\+1, CHEN Tian\|lun\+1, LIU Heng\|ling\+2 (1. Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China; 2. Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China);Adaptive Prediction Model Based on Chaotic Algorithm[J];Systems Engineering-theory & Practice;2003-01
【Co-citations】
Chinese Journal Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 ZENG Qinghai1,MA Zhongjun1,WANG Yilin2(1.Nanyang Institute of Technology,Nanyang473000,China;2.School of Civil Engineering and Mechanics,Huazhong University of Sci.and Tec.,Wuhan430074,China);Research on the chloride transmission mechanism in concrete with chaos theory[J];Sichuan Building Science;2007-01
2 CAI Ai-min~1,ZHA Liang-song~2(1.Depterment of Land Information Engineering,Chuzhou College,Chuzhou 239012;2.College of Territorial Resources and Tourism,Anhui Normal University,Wuhu 241000);Time Series Features of the Flood and Drought Damaged Areas in Anhui Province Based on Fractal Dimension Theory[J];Journal of Anhui Agricultural University;2005-04
3 LI Xiao-hong,FENG Xin-yan,LU Yi-yu,KANG Yong(China Education Ministry's Key Lab.for the Exploitation of South West Resources and the Environmental Disaster Control Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China);Research on the Forecasting Technology Based on Chaos Phase Space Reconstruction for the Gas Grade Appraising[J];Chinese Journal of Underground Space and Engineering;2007-05
4 WANG Li-qing, WEI Xue-ye, WEN Wei-gang, XIE Tao (School of Electronics and Information Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044,China);Study on the Fractal of A Current-Mode Buck-Boost Circuit from Order to Chaos[J];Journal of Northern Jiaotong University;2004-05
5 Xu Min Sun Ying (Suzhou Vocational University Suzhou 215104);Pretreatment Watermark Based on Chaos and Arnold Scrambling Technology[J];Office Informatization;2009-04
6 LU Jin-jun1,2,WANG Zhi-quan1(1.School of Automation,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094,Jiangsu,China;2.Center of Education and Technology,Nantong Vocational College,Nantong 226007,Jiangsu,China);An Improved Prediction Method of Network Traffic Flow Based on Chaos Characteristics[J];Acta Armamentarii;2007-11
7 LI Dou 1)WANG Feng JI Binghui XIANG Haige(Department of Electronics,School of Electronics Engineering and Computer Science,Peking University,Beijing,100871);The Study of Predictive MAC Protocol in Broadband Satellite Access Network with OBP[J];Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis;2007-05
8 GAO Hua-dong, HUO Da, TAO Lian-jin (College of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100022, China);Lateral Displacement Prediction of Deep Excavation Combining Chaos Theory With Credible Regions[J];Journal of Beijing Polytechnic University;2005-02
9 ZHU Chun-mei1,2,XU Xiao-li1,2,ZHANG Jian-min2(1.School of Electromechanical Engineering,Beijing Information Science and Technology University,Beijing 100192,China;2.School of Mechanical and Vehicular Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China);Condition development prediction of rotating machine based on chaos-neural networks[J];Journal of Beijing Institute of Machinery;2009-01
10 CAI Feng, ZENG Feng-zhang(School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing 100081, China);ANN-ARMA Model for Forecasting Product Consumption Based on Non-Stationary Time Series[J];Transactions of Beijing Institute of Technology;2007-03
China Proceedings of conference Full-text Database 10 Hits
1 Yu Dongsheng Chen Hao Wen Chaoju Sun Feiran(College of Information and Electrical Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221008,China);Analysis of chaotic behavior in switched reluctance motor drives based on Matlab[A];[C];2007
2 Wang Feng, Ji Binghui, Li dou (School of Electronics Engineering and Computer Science, Peking University, 100871);The Study of Self-Similar Traffic Prediction Based on Chaos Theory[A];[C];2006
3 LIU Bao-zheng~1 ZHANG Chuan~(2a) GAO Li-qun~(2b) 1.School of Mathematics Science,Liaocheng University,Liaocheng 252059,China; 2a.School of Business Administration, 2b.College of Information Science and Engineering,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110004,China.;Research on agriculture production decision-making based on fuzzy optimization model[A];[C];2007
4 Zhu Jiafu~(12) He Wei~1 Yang Hao~1 1 College of Electrical Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044 2 Department of Physics & Electronic Information Engineering,Chongqing University of Arts & Science,Chongqing.402168;Linear Approximation of In c(r)/Inr in Calculating Correlation Dimension of a Time Sequence[A];[C];2005
5 Zhao Junke, LI Yuxia ( DFEM Control Equipment Company Limited, SiChuan 618000; Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710048, China);The Chaotic Characteristic Analyze of the Power Price in our Country and Its Forecast[A];[C];2006
6 LI Ru-qi, SUN Yan, SUN Zhi-yuan (School of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004, China);Short-term Load Forecasting Model Based on Chaotic Theory, Correlation And Neural Networks[A];[C];2006
7 DOU Peng~(a,b) YANG Dao-wu~b LI Yi~a GONG Jie~a (a.College of Electrical and Information Engineering; b.College of Chemistry and Envionment Engineering.Changsha University of Science & Technology,Changsha 410076,China);Analysis of Transformer Oil Ageing and Frequency Characteristics of PD[A];[C];2008
8 Fu Qiang, Li Guo-liang (College of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin 150030, China; Doctoral Working Station of Beidahuang Company, Heilongjiang Land-Reclamation Bureau, Harbin 150040, China);Chaos Analysis of Series of Groundwater Depth in Sanjiang Plain[A];Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering[C];2006
9 Zhu Chunmei 1, 2,Xu Xiao-li 2 ,Zhang Jianmin1 (1.College of Mechanical and Vehicle,Beijing Institute of Technology ,Beijing 100081) (2.Dep. Of Mechanical Engineering,Beijing Information Scientific University, Beijing 100085 );Study of the Trend Prediction Method Based on Max Lyapunov Exponent for Rotating Machine Sets[A];[C];2008
10 LI Hong-quan MA Chao-qun ZOU Lin (School of Business,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China);Research on Chaotic Dynamic Characteristics in China Stock Market[A];[C];2005
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