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《Mathematics in Practice and Theory》 2008-01
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Annual Precipitation Forecasting Based on Wavelet-Stochastic Coupling Model in Sanjiang Plain

LIU Dong,FU Qiang(College of Water Conservancy & Civil Engineering,Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin Heilongjiang 150030,China)  
The rapid increase of paddy field acreage has led to widely descending of groundwater level in area of well irrigation paddy in Sanjiang Plain recent years.More and more ″hanging pump″ and partial overpumping have been occurring in area of well irrigation paddy.In order to solve above-mentioned problems,through taking Farm 853 as example and coupled analysis using the wavelet theory and stochastic hydrology method,the wavelet-stochastic coupling model that can forecast the annual precipitation was built up after the difference and standardization treatment towards the actual observation annual precipitation datum.The results of precision test showed this model had upper validity and reliability.The model revealed the time variation regularities of annual precipitation in this area.The study can provide scientific gist for fully utilizing natural precipitation,reasonably establishing irrigation system of paddy,groundwater resource recharge and sustainable utilization in Farm 853 so much as the entire Sanjiang Plain.
【Fund】: 国家自然科学基金(30400275)
【CateGory Index】: P333
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