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《Mathematics in Practice and Theory》 2013-16
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Optimized GM(1,1) Model and Its Application of the Syphilis Forecast in Guangdong Province

LI Kai;LU Zhong-hua;QiaHan-Hezier;College of Computer and Information Engineering, Xinjiang Agriculture University;Supercomputing Center, Computer Network Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences;  
In this paper,we propose a new GM(1,1) model base on optimizing the original value and the background value,We use forecasting of the annual incidence of syphilis in Guangdong province as our case study to test the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed model.According to the experimental results,the optimized new model has a much more higher fitting and prediction precision.
【Fund】: 中科院信息化专项项目(XXH2503-02)
【CateGory Index】: R181.3
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