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An early-warning analysis of the difference of county-level economy in Xinjiang on the basis of an econometric model

Han Yanling and Gao Zhigang  
Adopting the basic principles of economical early-warning theories, the authors analyze and predict the warning status of the absolute and relative differences of county-level economy in Xinjiang. They estimate the warning level of the difference of county-level economy in Xinjiang by setting up an econometric model and show that the absolute difference of county-level economy in Xinjiang has exceeded the warning level since 1994. The authors, borrowing ideas from the definition of the warning limits of the relative difference of household income at home and abroad, give their initial definitions of the warning limits, warning status, warning degree of the relative difference of the county-level economy in Xinjiang reflected with Gini coefficient, hence they make their judgment and prediction of the warning status of the relative difference of county-level economy in Xinjiang at present and draw some basic conclusions and inspirations for policy-making.
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